DET
3–6
TBL
Final · L
Detroit Red Wings
DET · 13-11-1
3–6
FinalL
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 15-7-2
1ST2ND3RDT
DET
111213013337
TBL
1113927627
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
DET 13-11-1 · TBL 15-7-2 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Red Wings fell to the Lightning
Chances were even (3.5 to 3.7 expected goals); the Red Wings lost 3–6. John Gibson allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.5 expected goals to 3.7, on 37 and 27 shots on goal.
DET 3.5 xG · 37 shots
TBL 3.7 xG · 27 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.1 · 0.9
2nd
1.5 · 2.2
3rd
0.9 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
J.T. Compher · 1st 11:29 · 1–0 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
Darren Raddysh · 1st 17:07 · 1–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Gage Goncalves · 2nd 00:34 · 1–2 · snap shot, a good chance (22%)
4
Yanni Gourde · 2nd 03:01 · 1–3 · snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (30%)
5
Michael Rasmussen · 2nd 03:13 · 2–3 · backhand shot, a good chance (23%)
6
Yanni Gourde · 2nd 16:09 · 2–4 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
7
Dylan Larkin · 2nd 18:26 · 3–4 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
8
Jake Guentzel · 3rd 12:37 · 3–5 · tip in shot, a good chance (13%)
9
Brandon Hagel · 3rd 17:13 · 3–6 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Red Wings win 47.
DET 47%TBL 53%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 4 penalties← Red Wings shoot this way
Lightning shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
J.T. Compher · 1st 11:29 · 1–0
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
Darren Raddysh · 1st 17:07 · PP · 1–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Gage Goncalves · 2nd 00:34 · 1–2
Snap shot, a good chance (22%)
4
Yanni Gourde · 2nd 03:01 · 1–3
Snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (30%)
5
Michael Rasmussen · 2nd 03:13 · 2–3
Backhand shot, a good chance (23%)
6
Yanni Gourde · 2nd 16:09 · GWG · 2–4
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
7
Dylan Larkin · 2nd 18:26 · 3–4
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
8
Jake Guentzel · 3rd 12:37 · 3–5
Tip in shot, a good chance (13%)
9
Brandon Hagel · 3rd 17:13 · EN · 3–6
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
16:31
Alex DeBrincat· Slashing
Alex DeBrincat· Slashing
Raddysh scored on this power play
Minor
2
Nikita Kucherov, Jake Guentzel · Power play (DeBrincat, slashing) · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
1–1
2nd period
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
09:13
Brandon Hagel· Tripping
Brandon Hagel· Tripping
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
11:32
James van Riemsdyk· Roughing
James van Riemsdyk· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
11:32
Yanni Gourde· Roughing
Yanni Gourde· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
Goaltending
21/26 saves · 5 GA · 3.7 xGA
Allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
34/37 saves · 3 GA · 3.5 xGA
Stopped 0.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
The Red Wings went 0-for-1 on the power play and allowed 1 on 1 Lightning power play.