DET
3–2
NYI
Final · W
Detroit Red Wings
DET · 19-12-3
3–2
FinalW
New York Islanders
NYI · 19-12-3
1ST2ND3RDT
DET
080538321
NYI
170714218
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Red Wings trail the season series 1–2
DET 19-12-3 · NYI 19-12-3 · Meeting 3 this season — the Red Wings trail the season series 1–2
Red Wings beat the Islanders
The Red Wings earned it: 3.2 expected goals to 1.1, and a 3–2 win to show for it. DeBrincat's winner came with 2:17 left. The Red Wings owned the 3rd period, 1.3 to 0.2 in expected goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Red Wings created the better chances: 3.2 expected goals to 1.1, on 21 and 18 shots on goal.
DET 3.2 xG · 21 shots
NYI 1.1 xG · 18 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.1 · 0.5
2nd
0.8 · 0.4
3rd · the swing
1.3 · 0.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Emil Heineman · 1st 04:27 · 0–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Axel Sandin-Pellikka · 3rd 02:03 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3
Alex DeBrincat · 3rd 03:55 · 2–1 · snap shot, a good chance (13%)
4
Scott Mayfield · 3rd 11:26 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
5
Alex DeBrincat · 3rd 17:43 · 3–2 · snap shot, a good chance (19%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Red Wings win 84.
DET 84%NYI 16%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 3 penalties← Red Wings shoot this way
Islanders shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Emil Heineman · 1st 04:27 · 0–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Axel Sandin-Pellikka · 3rd 02:03 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3
Alex DeBrincat · 3rd 03:55 · PP · 2–1
Snap shot, a good chance (13%)
4
Scott Mayfield · 3rd 11:26 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
5
Alex DeBrincat · 3rd 17:43 · PP · GWG · 3–2
Snap shot, a good chance (19%)
1st period
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
18:10
Simon Edvinsson· Hooking
Simon Edvinsson· Hooking
Killed
Minor
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
03:17
Matthew Schaefer· Holding
Matthew Schaefer· Holding
DeBrincat scored on this power play
Minor
3
Moritz Seider, Lucas Raymond · Power play (Schaefer, holding) · snap shot, a good chance (13%)
2–1
PEN
2 min
Minor
16:50
Scott Mayfield· Tripping
Scott Mayfield· Tripping
DeBrincat scored on this power play
Minor
5
Moritz Seider, Lucas Raymond · Power play (Mayfield, tripping) · snap shot, a good chance (19%)
3–2
Goaltending
16/18 saves · 2 GA · 1.1 xGA
Allowed 0.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
18/21 saves · 3 GA · 3.2 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
The Red Wings went 2-for-2 on the power play and killed all 1 Islanders power play.