Detroit Red Wings
DET · 21-13-3
3–2
Final / OTW
Washington Capitals
WSH · 19-12-5
1ST2ND3RDOTT
DET
052120416327
WSH
1140811001233
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Red Wings lead the season series 2–0
DET 21-13-3 · WSH 19-12-5 · Meeting 2 this season — the Red Wings lead the season series 2–0
Red Wings beat the Capitals
The Red Wings were outchanced (4.7 to 2.6 expected goals) but won it in overtime on Seider's goal anyway. Cam Talbot stopped 2.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Capitals created the better chances: 4.7 expected goals to 2.6, on 33 and 27 shots on goal.
DET 2.6 xG · 27 shots
WSH 4.7 xG · 33 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st · the swing
0.3 · 1.7
2nd
0.8 · 1.2
3rd
0.5 · 1.5
OT
1.1 · 0.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Ethen Frank · 1st 14:17 · 0–1 · backhand shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Lucas Raymond · 2nd 08:37 · 1–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
· 2nd 13:44 · 2–1 · deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
Ethen Frank · 3rd 10:22 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
5
Moritz Seider · OT 04:36 · 3–2 · slap shot, a good chance (15%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Red Wings win 22.
DET 22%WSH 78%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 3 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Ethen Frank · 1st 14:17 · 0–1
Backhand shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Lucas Raymond · 2nd 08:37 · PP · 1–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
· 2nd 13:44 · 2–1
Deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
Ethen Frank · 3rd 10:22 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
5
Moritz Seider · OT 04:36 · GWG · 3–2
Slap shot, a good chance (15%)
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
03:23
Elmer Soderblom· Tripping
Killed
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
07:22
Brandon Duhaime· Tripping
Raymond scored on this power play
Minor
2
Axel Sandin-Pellikka, Emmitt Finnie · Power play (Duhaime, tripping) · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
1–1
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
00:35
Dylan Strome· Hooking
Killed
Minor
Overtime
Goaltending
31/33 saves · 2 GA · 4.7 xGA
Stopped 2.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.
24/27 saves · 3 GA · 2.6 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
The Red Wings went 1-for-2 on the power play and killed all 1 Capitals power play.