Detroit Red Wings
DET · 22-13-3
4–3
Final / OTW
Dallas Stars
DAL · 25-7-6
1ST2ND3RDOTT
DET
160521212425
DAL
052131400322
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Red Wings lead the season series 1–0
DET 22-13-3 · DAL 25-7-6 · First meeting this season — the Red Wings lead the season series 1–0
Red Wings beat the Stars
The Red Wings were outchanced (3.9 to 2.3 expected goals) but won it in overtime on Larkin's goal anyway. Casey DeSmith allowed 1.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Stars created the better chances: 3.9 expected goals to 2.3, on 22 and 25 shots on goal.
DET 2.3 xG · 25 shots
DAL 3.9 xG · 22 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.4 · 0.9
2nd · the swing
0.6 · 2.2
3rd
1.0 · 0.8
OT
0.3 · 0.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
James van Riemsdyk · 1st 09:23 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
2
Roope Hintz · 2nd 10:47 · 1–1 · snap shot, a good chance (17%)
3
Jamie Benn · 2nd 19:16 · 1–2 · snap shot, a good chance (23%)
4
Emmitt Finnie · 3rd 03:02 · 2–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
5
Wyatt Johnston · 3rd 11:18 · 2–3 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
6
Dylan Larkin · 3rd 15:57 · 3–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
7
Dylan Larkin · OT 00:34 · 4–3 · snap shot, a good chance (19%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Red Wings win 27.
DET 27%DAL 73%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 8 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
James van Riemsdyk · 1st 09:23 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
2
Roope Hintz · 2nd 10:47 · PP · 1–1
Snap shot, a good chance (17%)
3
Jamie Benn · 2nd 19:16 · 1–2
Snap shot, a good chance (23%)
4
Emmitt Finnie · 3rd 03:02 · PP · 2–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
5
Wyatt Johnston · 3rd 11:18 · PP · 2–3
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
6
Dylan Larkin · 3rd 15:57 · PP · 3–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
7
Dylan Larkin · OT 00:34 · GWG · 4–3
Snap shot, a good chance (19%)
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
18:22
Moritz Seider· Holding
Killed
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
09:07
Dylan Larkin· Tripping
Hintz scored on this power play
Minor
2
Mikko Rantanen, Jason Robertson · Power play (Larkin, tripping) · snap shot, a good chance (17%)
1–1
PEN
2 min
Minor
14:41
Casey DeSmith· Roughing
Killed
Minor
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
02:00
Justin Hryckowian· Roughing
Finnie scored on this power play
Minor
4
Lucas Raymond, Moritz Seider · Power play (Hryckowian, roughing) · wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2–2
PEN
2 min
Minor
07:13
Axel Sandin-Pellikka· Holding
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
10:59
James van Riemsdyk· Holding
Johnston scored on this power play
Minor
5
Miro Heiskanen, Mikko Rantanen · Power play (Riemsdyk, holding) · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2–3
PEN
2 min
Minor
13:30
Lucas Raymond· Cross-checking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
14:09
Mikko Rantanen· Interference
Larkin scored on this power play
Minor
6
James van Riemsdyk, Lucas Raymond · Power play (Rantanen, interference) · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
3–3
Overtime
Goaltending
19/22 saves · 3 GA · 3.9 xGA
Stopped 0.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.
21/25 saves · 4 GA · 2.3 xGA
Allowed 1.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
The Red Wings went 2-for-3 on the power play and allowed 2 on 5 Stars power plays.