DET
3–2
TOR
Final / OT · W
Detroit Red Wings
DET · 23-14-3
3–2
Final / OTW
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 17-15-6
1ST2ND3RDOTT
DET
0811311213336
TOR
08191901227
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Red Wings lead the season series 3–0
DET 23-14-3 · TOR 17-15-6 · Meeting 3 this season — the Red Wings lead the season series 3–0
Red Wings beat the Maple Leafs
Chances were even (3.0 to 2.9 expected goals); the Red Wings won it in overtime on Edvinsson's goal.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.0 expected goals to 2.9, on 36 and 27 shots on goal.
DET 3.0 xG · 36 shots
TOR 2.9 xG · 27 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.6 · 0.7
2nd
0.6 · 1.3
3rd
1.4 · 0.7
OT
0.4 · 0.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Matthew Knies · 2nd 04:25 · 0–1 · snap shot, a great chance (26%)
2
Moritz Seider · 2nd 19:01 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
3
Nick Robertson · 3rd 04:53 · 1–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Mason Appleton · 3rd 05:16 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
5
Simon Edvinsson · OT 01:46 · 3–2 · backhand shot, a great chance (28%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Red Wings win 53.
DET 53%TOR 47%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 5 penalties← Red Wings shoot this way
Maple Leafs shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Matthew Knies · 2nd 04:25 · PP · 0–1
Snap shot, a great chance (26%)
2
Moritz Seider · 2nd 19:01 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
3
Nick Robertson · 3rd 04:53 · 1–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Mason Appleton · 3rd 05:16 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
5
Simon Edvinsson · OT 01:46 · GWG · 3–2
Backhand shot, a great chance (28%)
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
03:29
Ben Chiarot· Tripping
Ben Chiarot· Tripping
Knies scored on this power play
Minor
1
Auston Matthews, John Tavares · Power play (Chiarot, tripping) · snap shot, a great chance (26%)
0–1
PEN
2 min
Minor
09:31
J.T. Compher· Slashing
J.T. Compher· Slashing
Killed
Minor
3rd period
4
Michael Rasmussen, Albert Johansson · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
2–2
PEN
2 min
Minor
10:14
Bobby McMann· Holding the stick
Bobby McMann· Holding the stick
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
10:14
Moritz Seider· Roughing
Moritz Seider· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
10:14
Bobby McMann· Roughing
Bobby McMann· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
Overtime
Goaltending
25/27 saves · 2 GA · 2.9 xGA
Stopped 0.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.
33/36 saves · 3 GA · 3.0 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
The Red Wings allowed 1 on 2 Maple Leafs power plays.