Detroit Red Wings
DET · 28-15-4
4–3
Final / OTW
Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 28-14-4
1ST2ND3RDOTT
DET
18250411418
CAR
0120731401334
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
DET 28-15-4 · CAR 28-14-4 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Red Wings beat the Hurricanes
The Red Wings were outchanced (3.8 to 2.9 expected goals) but won it in overtime on Copp's goal anyway. Frederik Andersen allowed 1.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Hurricanes created the better chances: 3.8 expected goals to 2.9, on 34 and 18 shots on goal.
DET 2.9 xG · 18 shots
CAR 3.8 xG · 34 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.1 · 1.3
2nd
0.5 · 0.6
3rd · the swing
0.5 · 1.7
OT
0.7 · 0.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
James van Riemsdyk · 1st 01:32 · 1–0 · backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (39%)
2
Alex DeBrincat · 2nd 01:28 · 2–0 · snap shot, a good chance (16%)
3
Albert Johansson · 2nd 04:54 · 3–0 · snap shot, a good chance (22%)
4
Jackson Blake · 3rd 04:44 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Seth Jarvis · 3rd 07:56 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
6
Shayne Gostisbehere · 3rd 16:59 · 3–3 · slap shot, a good chance (11%)
7
Andrew Copp · OT 03:27 · 4–3 · snap shot, a great chance (48%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Red Wings win 36.
DET 36%CAR 64%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 11 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
James van Riemsdyk · 1st 01:32 · PP · 1–0
Backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (39%)
2
Alex DeBrincat · 2nd 01:28 · 2–0
Snap shot, a good chance (16%)
3
Albert Johansson · 2nd 04:54 · 3–0
Snap shot, a good chance (22%)
4
Jackson Blake · 3rd 04:44 · PP · 3–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Seth Jarvis · 3rd 07:56 · SH · 3–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
6
Shayne Gostisbehere · 3rd 16:59 · PP · 3–3
Slap shot, a good chance (11%)
7
Andrew Copp · OT 03:27 · GWG · 4–3
Snap shot, a great chance (48%)
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
00:37
Jaccob Slavin· Tripping
Riemsdyk scored on this power play
Minor
1
Moritz Seider, Lucas Raymond · Power play (Slavin, tripping) · backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (39%)
1–0
PEN
2 min
Minor
10:49
Jackson Blake· Hooking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
14:48
Moritz Seider· Tripping
Killed
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
14:30
Jacob Bernard-Docker· Tripping
Killed
Minor
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
02:52
Albert Johansson· Cross-checking
Blake scored on this power play
Minor
PEN
10 min
Misconduct
03:27
Sebastian Aho· Misconduct
Misconduct
PEN
10 min
Misconduct
03:27
Shayne Gostisbehere· Misconduct
Misconduct
4
Taylor Hall, Alexander Nikishin · Power play (Johansson, cross-checking) · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3–1
PEN
2 min
Minor
06:47
K'Andre Miller· Holding
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
15:18
Lucas Raymond· Slashing
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
15:48
Ben Chiarot· High-sticking
Gostisbehere scored on this power play
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
17:30
Taylor Hall· Tripping
Killed
Minor
Overtime
Goaltending
31/34 saves · 3 GA · 3.8 xGA
Stopped 0.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.
14/18 saves · 4 GA · 2.9 xGA
Allowed 1.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
The Red Wings went 1-for-4 on the power play and allowed 2 on 5 Hurricanes power plays.