DET
2–3
OTT
Final · L
Detroit Red Wings
DET · 38-25-8
2–3
FinalL
Ottawa Senators
OTT · 38-24-9
1ST2ND3RDT
DET
010110115235
OTT
1521006321
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 4 this season — the Red Wings lead the season series 3–1
DET 38-25-8 · OTT 38-24-9 · Meeting 4 this season — the Red Wings lead the season series 3–1
Red Wings fell to the Senators
Chances were even (1.7 to 1.7 expected goals); the Red Wings lost 2–3.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 1.7 expected goals to 1.7, on 35 and 21 shots on goal.
DET 1.7 xG · 35 shots
OTT 1.7 xG · 21 shots
0
1
1st
0.5 · 0.6
2nd
0.2 · 0.4
3rd
0.9 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Brady Tkachuk · 1st 17:15 · 0–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (21%)
2
Carter Yakemchuk · 2nd 09:28 · 0–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Lars Eller · 2nd 11:05 · 0–3 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
4
· 2nd 14:50 · 1–3 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
5
Dylan Larkin · 3rd 04:13 · 2–3 · snap shot, a great chance (27%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Red Wings win 50.
DET 50%OTT 50%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 10 penalties← Red Wings shoot this way
Senators shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Brady Tkachuk · 1st 17:15 · PP · 0–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (21%)
2
Carter Yakemchuk · 2nd 09:28 · 0–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Lars Eller · 2nd 11:05 · GWG · 0–3
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
4
· 2nd 14:50 · 1–3
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
5
Dylan Larkin · 3rd 04:13 · PP · 2–3
Snap shot, a great chance (27%)
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
03:32
Nick Cousins· Roughing
Nick Cousins· Roughing
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
08:38
Mason Appleton· Hooking
Mason Appleton· Hooking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
14:26
Jordan Spence· Tripping
Jordan Spence· Tripping
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
16:36
Simon Edvinsson· Tripping
Simon Edvinsson· Tripping
Tkachuk scored on this power play
Minor
1
Tim Stützle, Carter Yakemchuk · Power play (Edvinsson, tripping) · tip in shot, a good chance (21%)
0–1
2nd period
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
02:39
Nikolas Matinpalo· Tripping
Nikolas Matinpalo· Tripping
Larkin scored on this power play
Minor
5
Alex DeBrincat, Lucas Raymond · Power play (Matinpalo, tripping) · snap shot, a great chance (27%)
2–3
PEN
2 min
Minor
13:54
Ridly Greig· Interference
Ridly Greig· Interference
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
19:51
Brady Tkachuk· Roughing
Brady Tkachuk· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
19:51
Dylan Larkin· Roughing
Dylan Larkin· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
5 min
Major
19:51
Artem Zub· Fighting
Artem Zub· Fighting
Offsetting
Major
PEN
5 min
Major
19:51
Alex DeBrincat· Fighting
Alex DeBrincat· Fighting
Offsetting
Major
Goaltending
18/21 saves · 3 GA · 2.5 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
33/35 saves · 2 GA · 2.9 xGA
Stopped 0.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.
The Red Wings went 1-for-4 on the power play and allowed 1 on 2 Senators power plays.