Detroit Red Wings
DET · 39-26-8
3–5
FinalL
Philadelphia Flyers
PHI · 36-24-12
1ST2ND3RDT
DET
07011317335
PHI
182929526
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Red Wings trail the season series 0–1
DET 39-26-8 · PHI 36-24-12 · First meeting this season — the Red Wings trail the season series 0–1
Red Wings fell to the Flyers
The Red Wings created the better chances (5.4 to 3.8 expected goals) — and lost 3–5. John Gibson allowed 1.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Red Wings created the better chances: 5.4 expected goals to 3.8, on 35 and 26 shots on goal.
DET 5.4 xG · 35 shots
PHI 3.8 xG · 26 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
1st
0.4 · 1.1
2nd
1.1 · 1.4
3rd · the swing
3.9 · 1.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Owen Tippett · 1st 04:07 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a great chance (45%)
2
Owen Tippett · 2nd 12:22 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a great chance (49%)
3
Noah Cates · 2nd 16:08 · 0–3 · wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
4
Owen Tippett · 3rd 07:19 · 0–4 · snap shot, a great chance (50%)
5
Mason Appleton · 3rd 13:43 · 1–4 · snap shot, a good chance (15%)
6
Alex DeBrincat · 3rd 15:10 · 2–4 · wrist shot, a great chance (44%)
7
Lucas Raymond · 3rd 16:14 · 3–4 · snap shot, a good chance (21%)
8
Sean Couturier · 3rd 17:56 · 3–5 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Red Wings win 70.
DET 70%PHI 30%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 7 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Owen Tippett · 1st 04:07 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a great chance (45%)
2
Owen Tippett · 2nd 12:22 · 0–2
Wrist shot, a great chance (49%)
3
Noah Cates · 2nd 16:08 · PP · 0–3
Wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
4
Owen Tippett · 3rd 07:19 · PP · GWG · 0–4
Snap shot, a great chance (50%)
5
Mason Appleton · 3rd 13:43 · 1–4
Snap shot, a good chance (15%)
6
Alex DeBrincat · 3rd 15:10 · 2–4
Wrist shot, a great chance (44%)
7
Lucas Raymond · 3rd 16:14 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 3–4
Snap shot, a good chance (21%)
8
Sean Couturier · 3rd 17:56 · EN · 3–5
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
07:12
Jamie Drysdale· Interference
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
15:48
Dylan Larkin· High-sticking
Cates scored on this power play
Minor
3
Matvei Michkov, Travis Konecny · Power play (Larkin, high-sticking) · wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
0–3
PEN
2 min
Minor
18:19
Emil Andrae· Tripping
Killed
Minor
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
06:05
Mason Appleton· Roughing
Tippett scored on this power play
Minor
4
Jamie Drysdale, Travis Konecny · Power play (Appleton, roughing) · snap shot, a great chance (50%)
0–4
PEN
2 min
Minor
08:21
Matvei Michkov· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
08:21
Marco Kasper· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
10 min
Misconduct
11:49
David Perron· Misconduct
Misconduct
Goaltending
17/21 saves · 4 GA · 2.8 xGA
Allowed 1.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
4/4 saves · 0 GA · 0.2 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
The Red Wings went 0-for-2 on the power play and allowed 2 on 2 Flyers power plays.