DET
4–5
MIN
Final · L
Detroit Red Wings
DET · 40-29-8
4–5
FinalL
Minnesota Wild
MIN · 44-21-12
1ST2ND3RDT
DET
1306315424
MIN
064717520
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Red Wings trail the season series 0–2
DET 40-29-8 · MIN 44-21-12 · Meeting 2 this season — the Red Wings trail the season series 0–2
Red Wings fell to the Wild
Chances were even (3.0 to 3.0 expected goals); the Red Wings lost 4–5. Kaprizov's winner came with 1:51 left. Cam Talbot allowed 3.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.0 expected goals to 3.0, on 24 and 20 shots on goal.
DET 3.0 xG · 24 shots
MIN 3.0 xG · 20 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.4 · 0.5
2nd
0.6 · 1.8
3rd · the swing
2.0 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Albert Johansson · 1st 01:40 · 1–0 · snap shot, a good chance (12%)
2
Matt Boldy · 2nd 00:18 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
3
Kirill Kaprizov · 2nd 01:25 · 1–2 · deflected shot, a great chance (37%)
4
Vladimir Tarasenko · 2nd 07:03 · 1–3 · snap shot, a good chance (11%)
5
Kirill Kaprizov · 2nd 12:32 · 1–4 · snap shot, a great chance (31%)
6
Axel Sandin-Pellikka · 3rd 07:18 · 2–4 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
7
J.T. Compher · 3rd 11:14 · 3–4 · tip in shot, a great chance (28%)
8
Patrick Kane · 3rd 14:36 · 4–4 · backhand shot, a good chance (22%)
9
Kirill Kaprizov · 3rd 18:09 · 4–5 · slap shot, a good chance (16%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Red Wings win 50.
DET 50%MIN 50%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 3 penalties← Red Wings shoot this way
Wild shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Albert Johansson · 1st 01:40 · 1–0
Snap shot, a good chance (12%)
2
Matt Boldy · 2nd 00:18 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
3
Kirill Kaprizov · 2nd 01:25 · 1–2
Deflected shot, a great chance (37%)
4
Vladimir Tarasenko · 2nd 07:03 · 1–3
Snap shot, a good chance (11%)
5
Kirill Kaprizov · 2nd 12:32 · 1–4
Snap shot, a great chance (31%)
6
Axel Sandin-Pellikka · 3rd 07:18 · 2–4
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
7
J.T. Compher · 3rd 11:14 · 3–4
Tip in shot, a great chance (28%)
8
Patrick Kane · 3rd 14:36 · 4–4
Backhand shot, a good chance (22%)
9
Kirill Kaprizov · 3rd 18:09 · PP · GWG · 4–5
Slap shot, a good chance (16%)
1st period
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
02:17
Danila Yurov· Roughing
Danila Yurov· Roughing
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
04:57
Axel Sandin-Pellikka· Slashing
Axel Sandin-Pellikka· Slashing
Killed
Minor
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
16:23
Patrick Kane· Tripping
Patrick Kane· Tripping
Kaprizov scored on this power play
Minor
Goaltending
15/20 saves · 5 GA · 1.6 xGA
Allowed 3.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
20/24 saves · 4 GA · 2.5 xGA
Allowed 1.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
The Red Wings went 0-for-1 on the power play and allowed 1 on 2 Wild power plays.