EDM
2–3
WSH
Final · L
Edmonton Oilers
EDM · 14-12-0
2–3
FinalL
Washington Capitals
WSH · 11-12-4
1ST2ND3RDT
EDM
01227011230
WSH
02221919350
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Oilers trail the season series 0–2
EDM 14-12-0 · WSH 11-12-4 · Meeting 2 this season — the Oilers trail the season series 0–2
Oilers fell to the Capitals
The Oilers were outchanced (4.5 to 1.9 expected goals) and lost 2–3. Stuart Skinner stopped 1.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Capitals created the better chances: 4.5 expected goals to 1.9, on 50 and 30 shots on goal.
EDM 1.9 xG · 30 shots
WSH 4.5 xG · 50 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st
0.7 · 1.7
2nd · the swing
0.5 · 1.9
3rd
0.7 · 0.9
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Brett Kulak · 2nd 01:44 · 1–0 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2
Lars Eller · 2nd 07:25 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
3
Connor McDavid · 2nd 15:25 · 2–1 · wrist shot off the rush, a great chance (28%)
4
T.J. Oshie · 2nd 16:55 · 2–2 · snap shot, a good chance (21%)
5
Nic Dowd · 3rd 07:13 · 2–3 · snap shot, a good chance (23%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Oilers win 15.
EDM 15%WSH 85%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties← Oilers shoot this way
Capitals shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Brett Kulak · 2nd 01:44 · 1–0
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2
Lars Eller · 2nd 07:25 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
3
Connor McDavid · 2nd 15:25 · SH · 2–1
Wrist shot off the rush, a great chance (28%)
4
T.J. Oshie · 2nd 16:55 · PP · 2–2
Snap shot, a good chance (21%)
5
Nic Dowd · 3rd 07:13 · GWG · 2–3
Snap shot, a good chance (23%)
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
47/50 saves · 3 GA · 4.5 xGA
Stopped 1.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
28/30 saves · 2 GA · 1.9 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
