EDM
8–3
BUF
Final · W
Edmonton Oilers
EDM · 42-21-4
8–3
FinalW
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 33-33-5
1ST2ND3RDT
EDM
11628515839
BUF
21311105329
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
EDM 42-21-4 · BUF 33-33-5 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Oilers beat the Sabres
Down 0–2 in the 1st period, the Oilers erased the deficit with 8 unanswered goals — Hyman's equalizer — and won 8–3. Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen allowed 2.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Oilers created the better chances: 5.4 expected goals to 2.7, on 39 and 29 shots on goal.
EDM 5.4 xG · 39 shots
BUF 2.7 xG · 29 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
1st · the swing
2.2 · 0.8
2nd
1.3 · 1.0
3rd
1.8 · 0.9
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
JJ Peterka · 1st 01:38 · 0–1 · snap shot, a good chance (22%)
2
Victor Olofsson · 1st 16:34 · 0–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Leon Draisaitl · 1st 18:55 · 1–2 · snap shot, a good chance (20%)
4
Mattias Ekholm · 2nd 04:26 · 2–2 · snap shot, a good chance (12%)
5
JJ Peterka · 2nd 16:56 · 2–3 · snap shot, a good chance (18%)
6
Zach Hyman · 2nd 19:12 · 3–3 · deflected shot, a good chance (16%)
7
Darnell Nurse · 3rd 04:38 · 4–3 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
8
Mattias Ekholm · 3rd 05:40 · 5–3 · slap shot off the rush, a good chance (15%)
9
Zach Hyman · 3rd 15:18 · 6–3 · snap shot, a good chance (18%)
10
Ryan McLeod · 3rd 16:58 · 7–3 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
11
Connor Brown · 3rd 19:51 · 8–3 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (12%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Oilers win 83.
EDM 83%BUF 17%
Goals and penalties
11 goals · 0 penalties← Oilers shoot this way
Sabres shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
JJ Peterka · 1st 01:38 · 0–1
Snap shot, a good chance (22%)
2
Victor Olofsson · 1st 16:34 · 0–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Leon Draisaitl · 1st 18:55 · PP · 1–2
Snap shot, a good chance (20%)
4
Mattias Ekholm · 2nd 04:26 · 2–2
Snap shot, a good chance (12%)
5
JJ Peterka · 2nd 16:56 · 2–3
Snap shot, a good chance (18%)
6
Zach Hyman · 2nd 19:12 · 3–3
Deflected shot, a good chance (16%)
7
Darnell Nurse · 3rd 04:38 · GWG · 4–3
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
8
Mattias Ekholm · 3rd 05:40 · 5–3
Slap shot off the rush, a good chance (15%)
9
Zach Hyman · 3rd 15:18 · 6–3
Snap shot, a good chance (18%)
10
Ryan McLeod · 3rd 16:58 · 7–3
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
11
Connor Brown · 3rd 19:51 · 8–3
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (12%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
26/29 saves · 3 GA · 2.7 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
31/39 saves · 8 GA · 5.4 xGA
Allowed 2.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
