Florida Panthers
FLA · 21-12-2
4–3
FinalW
New York Rangers
NYR · 24-9-1
1ST2ND3RDT
FLA
11121517433
NYR
010214110334
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Panthers lead the season series 1–0
FLA 21-12-2 · NYR 24-9-1 · First meeting this season — the Panthers lead the season series 1–0
Panthers beat the Rangers
Chances were even (2.8 to 2.9 expected goals); the Panthers won 4–3. Jonathan Quick allowed 1.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.8 expected goals to 2.9, on 33 and 34 shots on goal.
FLA 2.8 xG · 33 shots
NYR 2.9 xG · 34 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.8 · 0.7
2nd
1.2 · 1.6
3rd
0.8 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Evan Rodrigues · 1st 18:45 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Sam Reinhart · 2nd 07:12 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
3
Artemi Panarin · 2nd 13:23 · 2–1 · snap shot, a good chance (20%)
4
Will Cuylle · 2nd 14:36 · 2–2 · wrist shot off the rush, a good chance (17%)
5
Sam Reinhart · 2nd 17:07 · 3–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
6
Mika Zibanejad · 3rd 12:15 · 3–3 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
7
Carter Verhaeghe · 3rd 13:37 · 4–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Panthers win 49.
FLA 49%NYR 51%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Evan Rodrigues · 1st 18:45 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Sam Reinhart · 2nd 07:12 · 2–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
3
Artemi Panarin · 2nd 13:23 · 2–1
Snap shot, a good chance (20%)
4
Will Cuylle · 2nd 14:36 · 2–2
Wrist shot off the rush, a good chance (17%)
5
Sam Reinhart · 2nd 17:07 · PP · 3–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
6
Mika Zibanejad · 3rd 12:15 · SH · 3–3
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
7
Carter Verhaeghe · 3rd 13:37 · GWG · 4–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
31/34 saves · 3 GA · 2.9 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
29/33 saves · 4 GA · 2.8 xGA
Allowed 1.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.