FLA
4–5
NYR
Final / OT · L
Florida Panthers
FLA · 9-5
4–5
Final / OTL
New York Rangers
NYR · 10-3
1ST2ND3RDOTT
FLA
2140521305437
NYR
28270414523
goals · shots on goal
Game 3 — the Panthers trail the series 1–2
FLA 9-5 · NYR 10-3 · Game 3 — the Panthers trail the series 1–2
Panthers fell to the Rangers
The Panthers created the better chances (4.3 to 2.7 expected goals) — and lost it in overtime on Wennberg's goal. Sergei Bobrovsky allowed 2.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Panthers created the better chances: 4.3 expected goals to 2.7, on 37 and 23 shots on goal.
FLA 4.3 xG · 37 shots
NYR 2.7 xG · 23 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.5 · 0.5
2nd
0.6 · 1.1
3rd · the swing
2.0 · 0.9
OT
0.2 · 0.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Sam Reinhart · 1st 02:50 · 1–0 · backhand shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Alexis Lafrenière · 1st 07:17 · 1–1 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Barclay Goodrow · 1st 07:42 · 1–2 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
4
Sam Reinhart · 1st 14:46 · 2–2 · backhand shot, a good chance (12%)
5
Alexis Lafrenière · 2nd 15:23 · 2–3 · backhand shot, a great chance (31%)
6
Barclay Goodrow · 2nd 18:14 · 2–4 · slap shot, a good chance (16%)
7
Aleksander Barkov · 3rd 05:04 · 3–4 · deflected shot, a good chance (15%)
8
Gustav Forsling · 3rd 06:58 · 4–4 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
9
Alexander Wennberg · OT 05:35 · 4–5 · deflected shot, a good chance (14%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Panthers win 72.
FLA 72%NYR 28%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties← Panthers shoot this way
Rangers shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Sam Reinhart · 1st 02:50 · PP · 1–0
Backhand shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Alexis Lafrenière · 1st 07:17 · 1–1
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Barclay Goodrow · 1st 07:42 · 1–2
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
4
Sam Reinhart · 1st 14:46 · PP · 2–2
Backhand shot, a good chance (12%)
5
Alexis Lafrenière · 2nd 15:23 · 2–3
Backhand shot, a great chance (31%)
6
Barclay Goodrow · 2nd 18:14 · SH · 2–4
Slap shot, a good chance (16%)
7
Aleksander Barkov · 3rd 05:04 · 3–4
Deflected shot, a good chance (15%)
8
Gustav Forsling · 3rd 06:58 · 4–4
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
9
Alexander Wennberg · OT 05:35 · GWG · 4–5
Deflected shot, a good chance (14%)
1st period
2
Vincent Trocheck, Jacob Trouba · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
1–1
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
18/23 saves · 5 GA · 2.7 xGA
Allowed 2.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
33/37 saves · 4 GA · 4.3 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
