Los Angeles Kings
LAK · 3-3
2–4
FinalL
Edmonton Oilers
EDM · 3-3
1ST2ND3RDT
LAK
01218112232
EDM
11511329437
goals · shots on goal
Game 6 — the series is tied 3–3
LAK 3-3 · EDM 3-3 · Game 6 — the series is tied 3–3
Kings fell to the Oilers
Chances were even (2.6 to 2.8 expected goals); the Kings lost 2–4. An empty-net goal padded the final score; it was a one-goal game until then.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.6 expected goals to 2.8, on 32 and 37 shots on goal.
LAK 2.6 xG · 32 shots
EDM 2.8 xG · 37 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.0 · 1.5
2nd
0.7 · 0.8
3rd
0.9 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Connor McDavid · 1st 01:40 · 0–1 · wrap around shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
Evander Kane · 2nd 01:50 · 0–2 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Sean Durzi · 2nd 13:59 · 1–2 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
4
Carl Grundstrom · 3rd 00:29 · 2–2 · snap shot, a good chance (15%)
5
Tyson Barrie · 3rd 14:50 · 2–3 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
6
Evander Kane · 3rd 19:00 · 2–4 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Kings win 48.
LAK 48%EDM 52%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Connor McDavid · 1st 01:40 · 0–1
Wrap around shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
Evander Kane · 2nd 01:50 · 0–2
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Sean Durzi · 2nd 13:59 · PP · 1–2
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
4
Carl Grundstrom · 3rd 00:29 · 2–2
Snap shot, a good chance (15%)
5
Tyson Barrie · 3rd 14:50 · GWG · 2–3
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
6
Evander Kane · 3rd 19:00 · EN · 2–4
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
33/36 saves · 3 GA · 2.8 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
30/32 saves · 2 GA · 2.6 xGA
Stopped 0.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.