LAK
4–2
TBL
Final · W
Los Angeles Kings
LAK · 4-4-0
4–2
FinalW
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 3-4-0
1ST2ND3RDT
LAK
17211115433
TBL
170919225
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Kings lead the season series 1–0
LAK 4-4-0 · TBL 3-4-0 · First meeting this season — the Kings lead the season series 1–0
Kings beat the Lightning
The Kings earned it: 3.2 expected goals to 2.5, and a 4–2 win to show for it.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Kings created the better chances: 3.2 expected goals to 2.5, on 33 and 25 shots on goal.
LAK 3.2 xG · 33 shots
TBL 2.5 xG · 25 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.1 · 0.6
2nd
1.2 · 1.0
3rd
0.9 · 0.9
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Phillip Danault · 1st 07:20 · 1–0 · poke shot on a rebound, a great chance (26%)
2
Brandon Hagel · 1st 15:14 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
3
Gabriel Vilardi · 2nd 05:03 · 2–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Blake Lizotte · 2nd 13:17 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
5
Adrian Kempe · 3rd 14:30 · 4–1 · snap shot, a good chance (11%)
6
Nikita Kucherov · 3rd 17:44 · 4–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Kings win 62.
LAK 62%TBL 38%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties← Kings shoot this way
Lightning shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Phillip Danault · 1st 07:20 · 1–0
Poke shot on a rebound, a great chance (26%)
2
Brandon Hagel · 1st 15:14 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
3
Gabriel Vilardi · 2nd 05:03 · PP · 2–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Blake Lizotte · 2nd 13:17 · GWG · 3–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
5
Adrian Kempe · 3rd 14:30 · 4–1
Snap shot, a good chance (11%)
6
Nikita Kucherov · 3rd 17:44 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 4–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
1st period
2
Mikhail Sergachev, Nikita Kucherov · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
1–1
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
23/25 saves · 2 GA · 2.5 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
29/33 saves · 4 GA · 3.2 xGA
Allowed 0.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
