Los Angeles Kings
LAK · 5-5-0
4–2
FinalW
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 4-4-1
1ST2ND3RDT
LAK
0931119429
TOR
1619013228
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Kings lead the season series 1–0
LAK 5-5-0 · TOR 4-4-1 · First meeting this season — the Kings lead the season series 1–0
Kings beat the Maple Leafs
Chances were even (2.9 to 3.0 expected goals); the Kings won 4–2. Ilya Samsonov allowed 1.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.9 expected goals to 3.0, on 29 and 28 shots on goal.
LAK 2.9 xG · 29 shots
TOR 3.0 xG · 28 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.6 · 1.0
2nd
1.2 · 1.1
3rd
1.1 · 0.9
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
John Tavares · 1st 10:45 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
2
Adrian Kempe · 2nd 03:03 · 1–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Viktor Arvidsson · 2nd 09:03 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
4
Gabriel Vilardi · 2nd 14:40 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Pierre Engvall · 2nd 16:58 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
6
Kevin Fiala · 3rd 02:11 · 4–2 · snap shot, a great chance (25%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Kings win 49.
LAK 49%TOR 51%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
John Tavares · 1st 10:45 · PP · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
2
Adrian Kempe · 2nd 03:03 · PP · 1–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Viktor Arvidsson · 2nd 09:03 · PP · 2–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
4
Gabriel Vilardi · 2nd 14:40 · GWG · 3–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Pierre Engvall · 2nd 16:58 · 3–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
6
Kevin Fiala · 3rd 02:11 · 4–2
Snap shot, a great chance (25%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
26/28 saves · 2 GA · 3.0 xGA
Stopped 1.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
25/29 saves · 4 GA · 2.9 xGA
Allowed 1.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.