LAK
4–3
CGY
Final / OT · W
Los Angeles Kings
LAK · 19-12-5
4–3
Final / OTW
Calgary Flames
CGY · 15-12-7
1ST2ND3RDOTT
LAK
1100621412432
CGY
1301121402330
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
LAK 19-12-5 · CGY 15-12-7 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Kings beat the Flames
Chances were even (3.3 to 3.1 expected goals); the Kings won it in overtime on Kempe's goal.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.3 expected goals to 3.1, on 32 and 30 shots on goal.
LAK 3.3 xG · 32 shots
CGY 3.1 xG · 30 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.5 · 0.3
2nd · the swing
0.9 · 1.7
3rd
1.7 · 0.9
OT
0.3 · 0.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Jonathan Huberdeau · 1st 03:23 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Gabriel Vilardi · 1st 17:41 · 1–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Phillip Danault · 3rd 01:29 · 2–1 · backhand shot, a good chance (17%)
4
Blake Lizotte · 3rd 01:39 · 3–1 · snap shot on a rebound, a good chance (18%)
5
Tyler Toffoli · 3rd 06:46 · 3–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
6
Dillon Dube · 3rd 13:32 · 3–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
7
Adrian Kempe · OT 03:23 · 4–3 · tip in shot, a good chance (19%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Kings win 54.
LAK 54%CGY 46%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Kings shoot this way
Flames shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Jonathan Huberdeau · 1st 03:23 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Gabriel Vilardi · 1st 17:41 · 1–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Phillip Danault · 3rd 01:29 · 2–1
Backhand shot, a good chance (17%)
4
Blake Lizotte · 3rd 01:39 · 3–1
Snap shot on a rebound, a good chance (18%)
5
Tyler Toffoli · 3rd 06:46 · PP · 3–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
6
Dillon Dube · 3rd 13:32 · 3–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
7
Adrian Kempe · OT 03:23 · GWG · 4–3
Tip in shot, a good chance (19%)
1st period
2nd period
No goals or penalties.
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
27/30 saves · 3 GA · 3.1 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
28/32 saves · 4 GA · 3.3 xGA
Allowed 0.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
