Los Angeles Kings
LAK · 30-18-7
5–2
FinalW
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 26-22-4
1ST2ND3RDT
LAK
07410111528
BUF
05011213229
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
LAK 30-18-7 · BUF 26-22-4 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Kings beat the Sabres
The Kings were outchanced (3.6 to 2.4 expected goals) but won 5–2 anyway. Craig Anderson allowed 2.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Sabres created the better chances: 3.6 expected goals to 2.4, on 29 and 28 shots on goal.
LAK 2.4 xG · 28 shots
BUF 3.6 xG · 29 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.5 · 0.4
2nd · the swing
0.7 · 1.6
3rd
1.3 · 1.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Adrian Kempe · 2nd 09:20 · 1–0 · snap shot off the rush, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
Arthur Kaliyev · 2nd 12:35 · 2–0 · snap shot, a good chance (13%)
3
Sean Walker · 2nd 18:41 · 3–0 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
4
Matt Roy · 2nd 19:14 · 4–0 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
5
Viktor Arvidsson · 3rd 05:14 · 5–0 · poke shot, a good chance (18%)
6
Dylan Cozens · 3rd 10:16 · 5–1 · snap shot, a good chance (17%)
7
Peyton Krebs · 3rd 15:09 · 5–2 · snap shot, a good chance (19%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Kings win 32.
LAK 32%BUF 68%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Adrian Kempe · 2nd 09:20 · SH · 1–0
Snap shot off the rush, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
Arthur Kaliyev · 2nd 12:35 · PP · 2–0
Snap shot, a good chance (13%)
3
Sean Walker · 2nd 18:41 · GWG · 3–0
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
4
Matt Roy · 2nd 19:14 · 4–0
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
5
Viktor Arvidsson · 3rd 05:14 · PP · 5–0
Poke shot, a good chance (18%)
6
Dylan Cozens · 3rd 10:16 · 5–1
Snap shot, a good chance (17%)
7
Peyton Krebs · 3rd 15:09 · PP · 5–2
Snap shot, a good chance (19%)
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
27/29 saves · 2 GA · 3.6 xGA
Stopped 1.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
23/28 saves · 5 GA · 2.4 xGA
Allowed 2.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.