Los Angeles Kings
LAK · 41-20-10
8–2
FinalW
Calgary Flames
CGY · 31-25-15
1ST2ND3RDT
LAK
414212213839
CGY
031916218
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Kings lead the season series 2–1
LAK 41-20-10 · CGY 31-25-15 · Meeting 3 this season — the Kings lead the season series 2–1
Kings beat the Flames
The Kings earned it: 3.4 expected goals to 2.4, and a 8–2 win to show for it. Jacob Markstrom allowed 3.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Kings created the better chances: 3.4 expected goals to 2.4, on 39 and 18 shots on goal.
LAK 3.4 xG · 39 shots
CGY 2.4 xG · 18 shots
0
1
2
3
1st · the swing
1.1 · 0.2
2nd
1.2 · 1.4
3rd
1.1 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Carl Grundstrom · 1st 08:15 · 1–0 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
Drew Doughty · 1st 11:16 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
3
Gabriel Vilardi · 1st 12:13 · 3–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
4
Viktor Arvidsson · 1st 15:46 · 4–0 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Tyler Toffoli · 2nd 00:34 · 4–1 · slap shot, a great chance (25%)
6
Adrian Kempe · 2nd 08:17 · 5–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
7
Adrian Kempe · 2nd 12:44 · 6–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
8
Noah Hanifin · 3rd 09:01 · 6–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (13%)
9
Mikey Anderson · 3rd 12:31 · 7–2 · snap shot, a good chance (16%)
10
Carl Grundstrom · 3rd 15:51 · 8–2 · snap shot, a good chance (12%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Kings win 66.
LAK 66%CGY 34%
Goals and penalties
10 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Carl Grundstrom · 1st 08:15 · 1–0
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
Drew Doughty · 1st 11:16 · 2–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
3
Gabriel Vilardi · 1st 12:13 · GWG · 3–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
4
Viktor Arvidsson · 1st 15:46 · PP · 4–0
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Tyler Toffoli · 2nd 00:34 · PP · 4–1
Slap shot, a great chance (25%)
6
Adrian Kempe · 2nd 08:17 · 5–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
7
Adrian Kempe · 2nd 12:44 · 6–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
8
Noah Hanifin · 3rd 09:01 · 6–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (13%)
9
Mikey Anderson · 3rd 12:31 · PP · 7–2
Snap shot, a good chance (16%)
10
Carl Grundstrom · 3rd 15:51 · 8–2
Snap shot, a good chance (12%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
16/18 saves · 2 GA · 2.4 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
20/26 saves · 6 GA · 2.3 xGA
Allowed 3.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.