Los Angeles Kings
LAK · 2-1
3–2
Final / OTW
Edmonton Oilers
EDM · 1-2
1ST2ND3RDOTT
LAK
171901114331
EDM
0521801700240
goals · shots on goal
Game 3 — the Kings lead the series 2–1
LAK 2-1 · EDM 1-2 · Game 3 — the Kings lead the series 2–1
Kings beat the Oilers
The Kings were outchanced (4.0 to 3.1 expected goals) but won it in overtime on Moore's goal anyway. Joonas Korpisalo stopped 2.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Oilers created the better chances: 4.0 expected goals to 3.1, on 40 and 31 shots on goal.
LAK 3.1 xG · 31 shots
EDM 4.0 xG · 40 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.7 · 0.8
2nd · the swing
1.0 · 1.8
3rd
0.7 · 1.3
OT
0.7 · 0.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Alex Iafallo · 1st 19:27 · 1–0 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (11%)
2
Connor McDavid · 2nd 07:42 · 1–1 · snap shot, a good chance (14%)
3
Connor McDavid · 2nd 09:22 · 1–2 · snap shot, a good chance (13%)
4
Adrian Kempe · 2nd 09:40 · 2–2 · slap shot, a good chance (13%)
5
Trevor Moore · OT 03:24 · 3–2 · snap shot, a great chance (29%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Kings win 36.
LAK 36%EDM 64%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Alex Iafallo · 1st 19:27 · 1–0
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (11%)
2
Connor McDavid · 2nd 07:42 · PP · 1–1
Snap shot, a good chance (14%)
3
Connor McDavid · 2nd 09:22 · PP · 1–2
Snap shot, a good chance (13%)
4
Adrian Kempe · 2nd 09:40 · PP · 2–2
Slap shot, a good chance (13%)
5
Trevor Moore · OT 03:24 · PP · GWG · 3–2
Snap shot, a great chance (29%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No goals or penalties.
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
38/40 saves · 2 GA · 4.0 xGA
Stopped 2.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
28/31 saves · 3 GA · 3.1 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.