LAK
3–4
PIT
Final / OT · L
Los Angeles Kings
LAK · 8-2-3
3–4
Final / OTL
Pittsburgh Penguins
PIT · 6-6-0
1ST2ND3RDOTT
LAK
1111141902336
PIT
17151711420
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Kings trail the season series 0–1
LAK 8-2-3 · PIT 6-6-0 · First meeting this season — the Kings trail the season series 0–1
Kings fell to the Penguins
The Kings created the better chances (3.2 to 2.4 expected goals) — and lost it in overtime on Rust's goal. Pheonix Copley allowed 1.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Kings created the better chances: 3.2 expected goals to 2.4, on 36 and 20 shots on goal.
LAK 3.2 xG · 36 shots
PIT 2.4 xG · 20 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.8 · 1.0
2nd
1.2 · 0.9
3rd
1.0 · 0.4
OT
0.3 · 0.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Sidney Crosby · 1st 07:11 · 0–1 · backhand shot, a great chance (30%)
2
Carl Grundstrom · 1st 14:14 · 1–1 · snap shot, a good chance (24%)
3
Adrian Kempe · 2nd 09:58 · 2–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
Lars Eller · 2nd 18:03 · 2–2 · snap shot, a good chance (21%)
5
Jake Guentzel · 3rd 00:37 · 2–3 · tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
6
Kevin Fiala · 3rd 06:40 · 3–3 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (19%)
7
Bryan Rust · OT 03:45 · 3–4 · wrap around shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Kings win 63.
LAK 63%PIT 37%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Kings shoot this way
Penguins shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Sidney Crosby · 1st 07:11 · 0–1
Backhand shot, a great chance (30%)
2
Carl Grundstrom · 1st 14:14 · SH · 1–1
Snap shot, a good chance (24%)
3
Adrian Kempe · 2nd 09:58 · 2–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
Lars Eller · 2nd 18:03 · SH · 2–2
Snap shot, a good chance (21%)
5
Jake Guentzel · 3rd 00:37 · 2–3
Tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
6
Kevin Fiala · 3rd 06:40 · 3–3
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (19%)
7
Bryan Rust · OT 03:45 · GWG · 3–4
Wrap around shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
7
Evgeni Malkin, Erik Karlsson · wrap around shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3–4
No penalties
Goaltending
16/20 saves · 4 GA · 2.4 xGA
Allowed 1.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
33/36 saves · 3 GA · 3.2 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
