Los Angeles Kings
LAK · 8-3-3
2–4
FinalL
Philadelphia Flyers
PHI · 7-7-1
1ST2ND3RDT
LAK
0912018237
PHI
1827111426
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
LAK 8-3-3 · PHI 7-7-1 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Kings fell to the Flyers
Chances were even (2.4 to 2.3 expected goals); the Kings lost 2–4. Cam Talbot allowed 1.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.4 expected goals to 2.3, on 37 and 26 shots on goal.
LAK 2.4 xG · 37 shots
PHI 2.3 xG · 26 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.7 · 0.3
2nd
1.3 · 0.7
3rd · the swing
0.4 · 1.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Owen Tippett · 1st 14:59 · 0–1 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
Morgan Frost · 2nd 06:26 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Morgan Frost · 2nd 16:30 · 0–3 · tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
4
Carl Grundstrom · 2nd 18:06 · 1–3 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
5
Cam Atkinson · 3rd 07:04 · 1–4 · wrist shot, a great chance (26%)
6
Adrian Kempe · 3rd 09:50 · 2–4 · tip in shot, a good chance (10%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Kings win 52.
LAK 52%PHI 48%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Owen Tippett · 1st 14:59 · 0–1
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
Morgan Frost · 2nd 06:26 · 0–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Morgan Frost · 2nd 16:30 · GWG · 0–3
Tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
4
Carl Grundstrom · 2nd 18:06 · 1–3
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
5
Cam Atkinson · 3rd 07:04 · 1–4
Wrist shot, a great chance (26%)
6
Adrian Kempe · 3rd 09:50 · 2–4
Tip in shot, a good chance (10%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
22/26 saves · 4 GA · 2.3 xGA
Allowed 1.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
35/37 saves · 2 GA · 2.4 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.