Los Angeles Kings
LAK · 22-14-9
3–5
FinalL
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 21-23-4
1ST2ND3RDT
LAK
313013014340
BUF
113211213537
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Kings trail the season series 0–1
LAK 22-14-9 · BUF 21-23-4 · First meeting this season — the Kings trail the season series 0–1
Kings fell to the Sabres
The Kings let a 3–1 lead get away: the Sabres came back with four unanswered goals — Quinn's equalizer — and won 3–5. Cam Talbot allowed 2.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Kings created the better chances: 3.4 expected goals to 2.5, on 40 and 37 shots on goal.
LAK 3.4 xG · 40 shots
BUF 2.5 xG · 37 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.2 · 1.1
2nd
0.8 · 0.9
3rd · the swing
1.5 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Anze Kopitar · 1st 02:55 · 1–0 · tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
2
JJ Peterka · 1st 05:01 · 1–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
3
Adrian Kempe · 1st 05:24 · 2–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Pierre-Luc Dubois · 1st 09:44 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
JJ Peterka · 2nd 08:22 · 3–2 · backhand shot, a good chance (11%)
6
Jack Quinn · 2nd 10:30 · 3–3 · snap shot, a good chance (12%)
7
Alex Tuch · 3rd 05:49 · 3–4 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
8
Dylan Cozens · 3rd 08:54 · 3–5 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Kings win 63.
LAK 63%BUF 37%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Anze Kopitar · 1st 02:55 · 1–0
Tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
2
JJ Peterka · 1st 05:01 · 1–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
3
Adrian Kempe · 1st 05:24 · 2–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Pierre-Luc Dubois · 1st 09:44 · PP · 3–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
JJ Peterka · 2nd 08:22 · 3–2
Backhand shot, a good chance (11%)
6
Jack Quinn · 2nd 10:30 · 3–3
Snap shot, a good chance (12%)
7
Alex Tuch · 3rd 05:49 · GWG · 3–4
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
8
Dylan Cozens · 3rd 08:54 · 3–5
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
32/37 saves · 5 GA · 2.5 xGA
Allowed 2.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
37/40 saves · 3 GA · 3.4 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.