Los Angeles Kings
LAK · 32-19-11
4–3
Final / OTW
Ottawa Senators
OTT · 25-32-4
1ST2ND3RDOTT
LAK
01011021213435
OTT
1101111901331
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Kings lead the season series 2–0
LAK 32-19-11 · OTT 25-32-4 · Meeting 2 this season — the Kings lead the season series 2–0
Kings beat the Senators
Chances were even (2.5 to 2.9 expected goals); the Kings won it in overtime on Fiala's goal. Joonas Korpisalo allowed 1.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.5 expected goals to 2.9, on 35 and 31 shots on goal.
LAK 2.5 xG · 35 shots
OTT 2.9 xG · 31 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.5 · 1.2
2nd
0.7 · 1.1
3rd
0.9 · 0.6
OT
0.4 · 0.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Dominik Kubalik · 1st 07:33 · 0–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Quinton Byfield · 2nd 13:24 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
3
Brady Tkachuk · 2nd 13:39 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
4
Pierre-Luc Dubois · 3rd 10:24 · 2–2 · tip in shot, a great chance (29%)
5
Jacob Moverare · 3rd 11:46 · 3–2 · deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
6
Drake Batherson · 3rd 15:37 · 3–3 · snap shot, a good chance (19%)
7
Kevin Fiala · OT 02:00 · 4–3 · backhand shot, a good chance (22%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Kings win 44.
LAK 44%OTT 56%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Dominik Kubalik · 1st 07:33 · PP · 0–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Quinton Byfield · 2nd 13:24 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
3
Brady Tkachuk · 2nd 13:39 · 1–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
4
Pierre-Luc Dubois · 3rd 10:24 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 2–2
Tip in shot, a great chance (29%)
5
Jacob Moverare · 3rd 11:46 · 3–2
Deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
6
Drake Batherson · 3rd 15:37 · 3–3
Snap shot, a good chance (19%)
7
Kevin Fiala · OT 02:00 · GWG · 4–3
Backhand shot, a good chance (22%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
28/31 saves · 3 GA · 2.9 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
31/35 saves · 4 GA · 2.5 xGA
Allowed 1.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.