Los Angeles Kings
LAK · 37-22-11
4–3
Final / OTW
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 38-25-7
1ST2ND3RDOTT
LAK
18181611423
TBL
170721000324
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
LAK 37-22-11 · TBL 38-25-7 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Kings beat the Lightning
Chances were even (2.7 to 2.9 expected goals); the Kings won it in overtime on Gavrikov's goal. Andrei Vasilevskiy allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.7 expected goals to 2.9, on 23 and 24 shots on goal.
LAK 2.7 xG · 23 shots
TBL 2.9 xG · 24 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.0 · 1.0
2nd
1.0 · 1.0
3rd
0.5 · 0.9
OT
0.1 · 0.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Adrian Kempe · 1st 07:03 · 1–0 · tip in shot, a good chance (18%)
2
Brayden Point · 1st 19:54 · 1–1
3
Trevor Moore · 2nd 02:18 · 2–1 · backhand shot, a great chance (47%)
4
Mikey Anderson · 3rd 01:12 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
5
Steven Stamkos · 3rd 15:25 · 3–2 · slap shot, a good chance (11%)
6
Steven Stamkos · 3rd 19:14 · 3–3 · slap shot, a good chance (14%)
7
Vladislav Gavrikov · OT 00:25 · 4–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Kings win 46.
LAK 46%TBL 54%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Adrian Kempe · 1st 07:03 · 1–0
Tip in shot, a good chance (18%)
2
Brayden Point · 1st 19:54 · PP · 1–1
3
Trevor Moore · 2nd 02:18 · 2–1
Backhand shot, a great chance (47%)
4
Mikey Anderson · 3rd 01:12 · 3–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
5
Steven Stamkos · 3rd 15:25 · PP · 3–2
Slap shot, a good chance (11%)
6
Steven Stamkos · 3rd 19:14 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 3–3
Slap shot, a good chance (14%)
7
Vladislav Gavrikov · OT 00:25 · GWG · 4–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
22/24 saves · 2 GA · 2.9 xGA
Stopped 0.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.
19/23 saves · 4 GA · 2.7 xGA
Allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.