Los Angeles Kings
LAK · 14-8-3
5–2
FinalW
Ottawa Senators
OTT · 10-12-1
1ST2ND3RDT
LAK
191939527
OTT
1511007222
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
LAK 14-8-3 · OTT 10-12-1 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Kings beat the Senators
Chances were even (2.3 to 1.9 expected goals); the Kings won 5–2. Anton Forsberg allowed 1.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.3 expected goals to 1.9, on 27 and 22 shots on goal.
LAK 2.3 xG · 27 shots
OTT 1.9 xG · 22 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.6 · 0.5
2nd
0.8 · 0.8
3rd
0.9 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Alex Laferriere · 1st 01:57 · 1–0 · deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
Tim Stützle · 1st 19:14 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Adam Gaudette · 2nd 06:11 · 1–2 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
Kevin Fiala · 2nd 07:26 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
5
Anze Kopitar · 3rd 01:37 · 3–2 · bat shot on a rebound, a good chance (25%)
6
Adrian Kempe · 3rd 16:14 · 4–2 · snap shot, a good chance (19%)
7
Trevor Moore · 3rd 18:26 · 5–2 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Kings win 58.
LAK 58%OTT 42%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Alex Laferriere · 1st 01:57 · 1–0
Deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
Tim Stützle · 1st 19:14 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Adam Gaudette · 2nd 06:11 · 1–2
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
Kevin Fiala · 2nd 07:26 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
5
Anze Kopitar · 3rd 01:37 · GWG · 3–2
Bat shot on a rebound, a good chance (25%)
6
Adrian Kempe · 3rd 16:14 · PP · 4–2
Snap shot, a good chance (19%)
7
Trevor Moore · 3rd 18:26 · EN · 5–2
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
1
Phillip Danault, Jordan Spence · deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
1–0
2nd period
3
Thomas Chabot, Jacob Bernard-Docker · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
1–2
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
20/22 saves · 2 GA · 1.9 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
22/26 saves · 4 GA · 2.3 xGA
Allowed 1.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.