Los Angeles Kings
LAK · 20-10-5
4–3
Final / OTW
Edmonton Oilers
EDM · 21-11-3
1ST2ND3RDOTT
LAK
29091516429
EDM
110290701327
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Kings lead the season series 1–0
LAK 20-10-5 · EDM 21-11-3 · First meeting this season — the Kings lead the season series 1–0
Kings beat the Oilers
Chances were even (3.0 to 2.8 expected goals); the Kings won it in overtime on Byfield's goal. Stuart Skinner allowed 1.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.0 expected goals to 2.8, on 29 and 27 shots on goal.
LAK 3.0 xG · 29 shots
EDM 2.8 xG · 27 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.7 · 1.3
2nd
1.0 · 1.0
3rd
0.6 · 0.4
OT
0.7 · 0.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Kasperi Kapanen · 1st 09:43 · 0–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (45%)
2
Quinton Byfield · 1st 12:32 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
3
Warren Foegele · 1st 17:35 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
4
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins · 2nd 03:20 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
5
Viktor Arvidsson · 2nd 11:59 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
6
Tanner Jeannot · 3rd 02:32 · 3–3 · tip in shot, a good chance (15%)
7
Quinton Byfield · OT 03:19 · 4–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Kings win 52.
LAK 52%EDM 48%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Kasperi Kapanen · 1st 09:43 · 0–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (45%)
2
Quinton Byfield · 1st 12:32 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
3
Warren Foegele · 1st 17:35 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
4
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins · 2nd 03:20 · PP · 2–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
5
Viktor Arvidsson · 2nd 11:59 · 2–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
6
Tanner Jeannot · 3rd 02:32 · 3–3
Tip in shot, a good chance (15%)
7
Quinton Byfield · OT 03:19 · GWG · 4–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
24/27 saves · 3 GA · 2.8 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
25/29 saves · 4 GA · 3.0 xGA
Allowed 1.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.