Los Angeles Kings
LAK · 16-14-9
3–5
FinalL
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 24-13-3
1ST2ND3RDT
LAK
2110118320
TBL
181739524
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
LAK 16-14-9 · TBL 24-13-3 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Kings fell to the Lightning
Chances were even (2.7 to 2.7 expected goals); the Kings lost 3–5. Goncalves's winner came with 1:41 left. Darcy Kuemper allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.7 expected goals to 2.7, on 20 and 24 shots on goal.
LAK 2.7 xG · 20 shots
TBL 2.7 xG · 24 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.2 · 1.1
2nd
0.6 · 0.7
3rd
0.9 · 1.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Brayden Point · 1st 03:34 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (23%)
2
Jeff Malott · 1st 04:43 · 1–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Andrei Kuzmenko · 1st 06:14 · 2–1 · snap shot, a great chance (29%)
4
Brayden Point · 2nd 18:07 · 2–2 · backhand shot, a good chance (18%)
5
Kevin Fiala · 3rd 01:37 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
6
Anthony Cirelli · 3rd 16:41 · 3–3 · backhand shot, a good chance (21%)
7
Gage Goncalves · 3rd 18:19 · 3–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
8
Nikita Kucherov · 3rd 19:15 · 3–5 · backhand shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Kings win 50.
LAK 50%TBL 50%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 7 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Brayden Point · 1st 03:34 · PP · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (23%)
2
Jeff Malott · 1st 04:43 · 1–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Andrei Kuzmenko · 1st 06:14 · PP · 2–1
Snap shot, a great chance (29%)
4
Brayden Point · 2nd 18:07 · 2–2
Backhand shot, a good chance (18%)
5
Kevin Fiala · 3rd 01:37 · PP · 3–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
6
Anthony Cirelli · 3rd 16:41 · 3–3
Backhand shot, a good chance (21%)
7
Gage Goncalves · 3rd 18:19 · GWG · 3–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
8
Nikita Kucherov · 3rd 19:15 · EN · 3–5
Backhand shot, into an empty net
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
02:52
Anze Kopitar· Tripping
Point scored on this power play
Minor
1
Jake Guentzel, Nikita Kucherov · Power play (Kopitar, tripping) · wrist shot, a good chance (23%)
0–1
PEN
2 min
Minor
05:43
Max Crozier· Holding
Kuzmenko scored on this power play
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
14:12
Declan Carlile· Tripping
Killed
Minor
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
00:58
Darren Raddysh· Cross-checking
Fiala scored on this power play
Minor
5
Corey Perry, Andrei Kuzmenko · Power play (Raddysh, cross-checking) · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
3–2
PEN
2 min
Minor
05:33
Drew Doughty· Interference
Killed
Minor
PEN
5 min
Major
20:00
Corey Perry· Fighting
Offsetting
Major
PEN
5 min
Major
20:00
Yanni Gourde· Fighting
Offsetting
Major
Goaltending
19/23 saves · 4 GA · 2.7 xGA
Allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
17/20 saves · 3 GA · 2.7 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
The Kings went 2-for-3 on the power play and allowed 1 on 2 Lightning power plays.