Minnesota Wild
MIN · 53-22-7
4–1
FinalW
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 56-19-7
1ST2ND3RDT
MIN
2111615422
COL
0101909128
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 4 this season — the season series is tied 2–2
MIN 53-22-7 · COL 56-19-7 · Meeting 4 this season — the season series is tied 2–2
Wild beat the Avalanche
Chances were even (2.2 to 2.0 expected goals); the Wild won 4–1. Marc-Andre Fleury stopped 1.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.2 expected goals to 2.0, on 22 and 28 shots on goal.
MIN 2.2 xG · 22 shots
COL 2.0 xG · 28 shots
0
1
2
1st
1.1 · 0.8
2nd
0.9 · 0.6
3rd
0.2 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Jordan Greenway · 1st 00:58 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
Tyson Jost · 1st 04:12 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
3
Kirill Kaprizov · 2nd 03:46 · 3–0 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (17%)
4
Nazem Kadri · 2nd 05:38 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
5
Jordan Greenway · 3rd 19:28 · 4–1 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Wild win 54.
MIN 54%COL 46%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Jordan Greenway · 1st 00:58 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
Tyson Jost · 1st 04:12 · GWG · 2–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
3
Kirill Kaprizov · 2nd 03:46 · 3–0
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (17%)
4
Nazem Kadri · 2nd 05:38 · 3–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
5
Jordan Greenway · 3rd 19:28 · EN · 4–1
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
27/28 saves · 1 GA · 2.0 xGA
Stopped 1.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
18/21 saves · 3 GA · 2.2 xGA
Allowed 0.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.