MIN
2–5
STL
Final · L
Minnesota Wild
MIN · 2-3
2–5
FinalL
St. Louis Blues
STL · 3-2
1ST2ND3RDT
MIN
21201109232
STL
19111312532
goals · shots on goal
Game 5 — the Wild trail the series 2–3
MIN 2-3 · STL 3-2 · Game 5 — the Wild trail the series 2–3
Wild fell to the Blues
Chances were even (2.5 to 2.7 expected goals); the Wild lost 2–5. Marc-Andre Fleury allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.5 expected goals to 2.7, on 32 and 32 shots on goal.
MIN 2.5 xG · 32 shots
STL 2.7 xG · 32 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.0 · 0.7
2nd
1.2 · 1.1
3rd
0.3 · 0.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Ryan O'Reilly · 1st 04:53 · 0–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (17%)
2
Kirill Kaprizov · 1st 13:15 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Kirill Kaprizov · 1st 17:07 · 2–1 · snap shot, a good chance (17%)
4
Brandon Saad · 2nd 15:28 · 2–2 · deflected shot, a good chance (16%)
5
Vladimir Tarasenko · 3rd 01:03 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
6
Vladimir Tarasenko · 3rd 02:31 · 2–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
7
Vladimir Tarasenko · 3rd 18:27 · 2–5 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Wild win 48.
MIN 48%STL 52%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Wild shoot this way
Blues shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Ryan O'Reilly · 1st 04:53 · PP · 0–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (17%)
2
Kirill Kaprizov · 1st 13:15 · PP · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Kirill Kaprizov · 1st 17:07 · PP · 2–1
Snap shot, a good chance (17%)
4
Brandon Saad · 2nd 15:28 · 2–2
Deflected shot, a good chance (16%)
5
Vladimir Tarasenko · 3rd 01:03 · GWG · 2–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
6
Vladimir Tarasenko · 3rd 02:31 · 2–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
7
Vladimir Tarasenko · 3rd 18:27 · EN · 2–5
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
27/31 saves · 4 GA · 2.7 xGA
Allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
30/32 saves · 2 GA · 2.5 xGA
Stopped 0.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
