MIN
3–6
COL
Final · L
Minnesota Wild
MIN · 0-3-0
3–6
FinalL
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 2-1-0
1ST2ND3RDT
MIN
111116112339
COL
210118310638
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Wild trail the season series 0–1
MIN 0-3-0 · COL 2-1-0 · First meeting this season — the Wild trail the season series 0–1
Wild fell to the Avalanche
Chances were even (2.8 to 3.0 expected goals); the Wild lost 3–6. Filip Gustavsson allowed 2.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.8 expected goals to 3.0, on 39 and 38 shots on goal.
MIN 2.8 xG · 39 shots
COL 3.0 xG · 38 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.7 · 0.7
2nd
0.9 · 1.4
3rd
1.3 · 0.9
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Ben Meyers · 1st 03:30 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
2
Kirill Kaprizov · 1st 04:14 · 1–1 · snap shot, a good chance (15%)
3
Samuel Girard · 1st 15:08 · 1–2 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
4
Joel Eriksson Ek · 2nd 06:09 · 2–2 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Mikko Rantanen · 2nd 11:59 · 2–3 · backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (20%)
6
Josh Manson · 3rd 02:02 · 2–4 · backhand shot, a good chance (13%)
7
Kirill Kaprizov · 3rd 04:17 · 3–4 · deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
8
Nathan MacKinnon · 3rd 14:54 · 3–5 · tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
9
Valeri Nichushkin · 3rd 19:39 · 3–6 · snap shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Wild win 47.
MIN 47%COL 53%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties← Wild shoot this way
Avalanche shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Ben Meyers · 1st 03:30 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
2
Kirill Kaprizov · 1st 04:14 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 1–1
Snap shot, a good chance (15%)
3
Samuel Girard · 1st 15:08 · 1–2
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
4
Joel Eriksson Ek · 2nd 06:09 · PP · 2–2
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Mikko Rantanen · 2nd 11:59 · 2–3
Backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (20%)
6
Josh Manson · 3rd 02:02 · GWG · 2–4
Backhand shot, a good chance (13%)
7
Kirill Kaprizov · 3rd 04:17 · PP · 3–4
Deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
8
Nathan MacKinnon · 3rd 14:54 · PP · 3–5
Tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
9
Valeri Nichushkin · 3rd 19:39 · EN · 3–6
Snap shot, into an empty net
1st period
3
Nathan MacKinnon, Valeri Nichushkin · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
1–2
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
32/37 saves · 5 GA · 3.0 xGA
Allowed 2.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
36/39 saves · 3 GA · 2.8 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
