MIN
4–3
VAN
Final / OT · W
Minnesota Wild
MIN · 1-3-0
4–3
Final / OTW
Vancouver Canucks
VAN · 0-3-2
1ST2ND3RDOTT
MIN
2130611315437
VAN
281110700326
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Wild lead the season series 1–0
MIN 1-3-0 · VAN 0-3-2 · First meeting this season — the Wild lead the season series 1–0
Wild beat the Canucks
Chances were even (3.2 to 3.0 expected goals); the Wild won it in overtime on Kaprizov's goal.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.2 expected goals to 3.0, on 37 and 26 shots on goal.
MIN 3.2 xG · 37 shots
VAN 3.0 xG · 26 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.7 · 0.6
2nd · the swing
0.8 · 1.6
3rd
1.2 · 0.8
OT
0.6 · 0.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Mats Zuccarello · 1st 04:37 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
2
Bo Horvat · 1st 07:58 · 1–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Nils Aman · 1st 16:47 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Sam Steel · 1st 19:00 · 2–2 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
5
Dakota Joshua · 2nd 13:37 · 2–3 · backhand shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
6
Mats Zuccarello · 3rd 08:31 · 3–3 · tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
7
Kirill Kaprizov · OT 03:02 · 4–3 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (11%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Wild win 54.
MIN 54%VAN 46%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Wild shoot this way
Canucks shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Mats Zuccarello · 1st 04:37 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
2
Bo Horvat · 1st 07:58 · 1–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Nils Aman · 1st 16:47 · 1–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Sam Steel · 1st 19:00 · 2–2
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
5
Dakota Joshua · 2nd 13:37 · 2–3
Backhand shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
6
Mats Zuccarello · 3rd 08:31 · PP · 3–3
Tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
7
Kirill Kaprizov · OT 03:02 · EXTRA ATTACKER · GWG · 4–3
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (11%)
1st period
2nd period
5
Oliver Ekman-Larsson, Nils Aman · backhand shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2–3
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
23/26 saves · 3 GA · 3.0 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
33/37 saves · 4 GA · 3.2 xGA
Allowed 0.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
