MIN
3–4
TOR
Final · L
Minnesota Wild
MIN · 9-9-2
3–4
FinalL
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 12-5-5
1ST2ND3RDT
MIN
11216110328
TOR
21011117428
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Wild trail the season series 0–1
MIN 9-9-2 · TOR 12-5-5 · First meeting this season — the Wild trail the season series 0–1
Wild fell to the Maple Leafs
Chances were even (2.6 to 2.6 expected goals); the Wild lost 3–4. Marc-Andre Fleury allowed 1.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.6 expected goals to 2.6, on 28 and 28 shots on goal.
MIN 2.6 xG · 28 shots
TOR 2.6 xG · 28 shots
0
1
2
1st
1.2 · 0.8
2nd
0.7 · 0.9
3rd
0.7 · 0.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Mitch Marner · 1st 03:42 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
2
Kirill Kaprizov · 1st 12:01 · 1–1 · snap shot, a good chance (19%)
3
· 1st 12:43 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
4
Matt Boldy · 2nd 02:38 · 2–2 · snap shot, a good chance (13%)
5
Calle Jarnkrok · 2nd 10:04 · 2–3 · snap shot, a great chance (28%)
6
William Nylander · 3rd 13:23 · 2–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
7
Mats Zuccarello · 3rd 16:26 · 3–4 · snap shot on a rebound, a good chance (22%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Wild win 50.
MIN 50%TOR 50%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Wild shoot this way
Maple Leafs shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Mitch Marner · 1st 03:42 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
2
Kirill Kaprizov · 1st 12:01 · PP · 1–1
Snap shot, a good chance (19%)
3
· 1st 12:43 · 1–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
4
Matt Boldy · 2nd 02:38 · 2–2
Snap shot, a good chance (13%)
5
Calle Jarnkrok · 2nd 10:04 · 2–3
Snap shot, a great chance (28%)
6
William Nylander · 3rd 13:23 · GWG · 2–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
7
Mats Zuccarello · 3rd 16:26 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 3–4
Snap shot on a rebound, a good chance (22%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
24/28 saves · 4 GA · 2.6 xGA
Allowed 1.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
25/28 saves · 3 GA · 2.6 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
