MIN
5–3
EDM
Final · W
Minnesota Wild
MIN · 11-9-2
5–3
FinalW
Edmonton Oilers
EDM · 13-11-0
1ST2ND3RDT
MIN
06313211530
EDM
1416111321
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Wild lead the season series 1–0
MIN 11-9-2 · EDM 13-11-0 · First meeting this season — the Wild lead the season series 1–0
Wild beat the Oilers
The Wild earned it: 3.2 expected goals to 2.0, and a 5–3 win to show for it. Jack Campbell allowed 1.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Wild created the better chances: 3.2 expected goals to 2.0, on 30 and 21 shots on goal.
MIN 3.2 xG · 30 shots
EDM 2.0 xG · 21 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.6 · 0.5
2nd
1.4 · 0.8
3rd
1.2 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Leon Draisaitl · 1st 11:17 · 0–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
2
Joel Eriksson Ek · 2nd 01:51 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a great chance (33%)
3
Connor McDavid · 2nd 04:22 · 1–2 · snap shot, a good chance (16%)
4
Kirill Kaprizov · 2nd 10:53 · 2–2 · backhand shot, a good chance (16%)
5
Frederick Gaudreau · 2nd 13:59 · 3–2 · backhand shot, a good chance (15%)
6
Sam Steel · 3rd 03:13 · 4–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
7
Mats Zuccarello · 3rd 11:48 · 5–2 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
8
Klim Kostin · 3rd 19:56 · 5–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Wild win 69.
MIN 69%EDM 31%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties← Wild shoot this way
Oilers shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Leon Draisaitl · 1st 11:17 · PP · 0–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
2
Joel Eriksson Ek · 2nd 01:51 · PP · 1–1
Wrist shot, a great chance (33%)
3
Connor McDavid · 2nd 04:22 · 1–2
Snap shot, a good chance (16%)
4
Kirill Kaprizov · 2nd 10:53 · PP · 2–2
Backhand shot, a good chance (16%)
5
Frederick Gaudreau · 2nd 13:59 · 3–2
Backhand shot, a good chance (15%)
6
Sam Steel · 3rd 03:13 · GWG · 4–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
7
Mats Zuccarello · 3rd 11:48 · 5–2
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
8
Klim Kostin · 3rd 19:56 · 5–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
18/21 saves · 3 GA · 2.0 xGA
Allowed 1.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
25/30 saves · 5 GA · 3.2 xGA
Allowed 1.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
