Minnesota Wild
MIN · 12-9-2
5–4
Final / SOW
Anaheim Ducks
ANA · 6-16-3
1ST2ND3RDOTSOT
MIN
211016220021549
ANA
11221019020433
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Wild lead the season series 2–0
MIN 12-9-2 · ANA 6-16-3 · Meeting 2 this season — the Wild lead the season series 2–0
Wild beat the Ducks
The Wild earned it: 4.2 expected goals to 3.2, and they won it in a shootout. The Ducks scored 2 power-play goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Wild created the better chances: 4.2 expected goals to 3.2, on 49 and 33 shots on goal.
MIN 4.2 xG · 49 shots
ANA 3.2 xG · 33 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.0 · 0.8
2nd
1.1 · 0.7
3rd · the swing
1.8 · 1.0
OT
0.3 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
· 1st 04:37 · 1–0 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
2
Ryan Strome · 1st 08:13 · 1–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (14%)
3
Connor Dewar · 1st 15:04 · 2–1 · poke shot on a rebound, a good chance (14%)
4
Cam Fowler · 2nd 10:43 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
5
Trevor Zegras · 2nd 19:00 · 2–3 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (24%)
6
Joel Eriksson Ek · 3rd 05:26 · 3–3 · backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (13%)
7
Troy Terry · 3rd 10:36 · 3–4 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (25%)
8
Kirill Kaprizov · 3rd 17:25 · 4–4 · snap shot, a good chance (13%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Wild win 63.
MIN 63%ANA 37%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
· 1st 04:37 · 1–0
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
2
Ryan Strome · 1st 08:13 · 1–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (14%)
3
Connor Dewar · 1st 15:04 · 2–1
Poke shot on a rebound, a good chance (14%)
4
Cam Fowler · 2nd 10:43 · PP · 2–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
5
Trevor Zegras · 2nd 19:00 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 2–3
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (24%)
6
Joel Eriksson Ek · 3rd 05:26 · PP · 3–3
Backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (13%)
7
Troy Terry · 3rd 10:36 · PP · 3–4
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (25%)
8
Kirill Kaprizov · 3rd 17:25 · 4–4
Snap shot, a good chance (13%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Shootout
Decided in a shootout — Wild
Goaltending
29/33 saves · 4 GA · 3.2 xGA
Allowed 0.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
45/49 saves · 4 GA · 4.2 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.