MIN
4–1
DET
Final · W
Minnesota Wild
MIN · 16-11-2
4–1
FinalW
Detroit Red Wings
DET · 13-10-6
1ST2ND3RDT
MIN
1721114422
DET
0211005117
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
MIN 16-11-2 · DET 13-10-6 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Wild beat the Red Wings
Chances were even (1.9 to 2.0 expected goals); the Wild won 4–1. Magnus Hellberg allowed 1.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 1.9 expected goals to 2.0, on 22 and 17 shots on goal.
MIN 1.9 xG · 22 shots
DET 2.0 xG · 17 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.6 · 0.2
2nd
1.0 · 1.0
3rd
0.2 · 0.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Frederick Gaudreau · 1st 14:37 · 1–0 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
· 2nd 08:02 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Elmer Soderblom · 2nd 18:41 · 2–1 · snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (38%)
4
Mats Zuccarello · 2nd 18:57 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
5
Frederick Gaudreau · 3rd 19:18 · 4–1 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Wild win 47.
MIN 47%DET 53%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties← Wild shoot this way
Red Wings shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Frederick Gaudreau · 1st 14:37 · PP · 1–0
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
· 2nd 08:02 · GWG · 2–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Elmer Soderblom · 2nd 18:41 · 2–1
Snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (38%)
4
Mats Zuccarello · 2nd 18:57 · 3–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
5
Frederick Gaudreau · 3rd 19:18 · EN · 4–1
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
16/17 saves · 1 GA · 2.0 xGA
Stopped 1.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
18/21 saves · 3 GA · 1.9 xGA
Allowed 1.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
