Minnesota Wild
MIN · 17-11-2
4–1
FinalW
Chicago Blackhawks
CHI · 7-18-4
1ST2ND3RDT
MIN
1102715422
CHI
0909112130
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Wild lead the season series 2–0
MIN 17-11-2 · CHI 7-18-4 · Meeting 2 this season — the Wild lead the season series 2–0
Wild beat the Blackhawks
Chances were even (2.4 to 2.0 expected goals); the Wild won 4–1. Marc-Andre Fleury stopped 1.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.4 expected goals to 2.0, on 22 and 30 shots on goal.
MIN 2.4 xG · 22 shots
CHI 2.0 xG · 30 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.6 · 0.7
2nd · the swing
1.1 · 0.3
3rd
0.7 · 1.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Mats Zuccarello · 1st 04:54 · 1–0 · deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
2
Kirill Kaprizov · 2nd 08:32 · 2–0 · poke shot, a good chance (16%)
3
Mats Zuccarello · 2nd 19:17 · 3–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
Jonathan Toews · 3rd 08:27 · 3–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
5
Mats Zuccarello · 3rd 17:51 · 4–1 · wrist shot off the rush, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Wild win 57.
MIN 57%CHI 43%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Mats Zuccarello · 1st 04:54 · 1–0
Deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
2
Kirill Kaprizov · 2nd 08:32 · GWG · 2–0
Poke shot, a good chance (16%)
3
Mats Zuccarello · 2nd 19:17 · PP · 3–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
Jonathan Toews · 3rd 08:27 · PP · 3–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
5
Mats Zuccarello · 3rd 17:51 · EN · 4–1
Wrist shot off the rush, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
29/30 saves · 1 GA · 2.0 xGA
Stopped 1.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
18/21 saves · 3 GA · 2.4 xGA
Allowed 0.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.