MIN
4–2
OTT
Final · W
Minnesota Wild
MIN · 18-11-2
4–2
FinalW
Ottawa Senators
OTT · 14-15-2
1ST2ND3RDT
MIN
1112913423
OTT
0507216228
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Wild lead the season series 2–0
MIN 18-11-2 · OTT 14-15-2 · Meeting 2 this season — the Wild lead the season series 2–0
Wild beat the Senators
The Wild were outchanced (3.1 to 2.3 expected goals) but won 4–2 anyway. Filip Gustavsson stopped 1.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Senators created the better chances: 3.1 expected goals to 2.3, on 28 and 23 shots on goal.
MIN 2.3 xG · 23 shots
OTT 3.1 xG · 28 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.8 · 0.3
2nd
1.2 · 0.8
3rd · the swing
0.3 · 2.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Kirill Kaprizov · 1st 08:19 · 1–0 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Mats Zuccarello · 2nd 01:34 · 2–0 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (16%)
3
Jared Spurgeon · 2nd 09:27 · 3–0 · backhand shot, a great chance (42%)
4
Mark Kastelic · 3rd 04:58 · 3–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
5
Claude Giroux · 3rd 18:20 · 3–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (22%)
6
Frederick Gaudreau · 3rd 19:34 · 4–2 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Wild win 37.
MIN 37%OTT 63%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties← Wild shoot this way
Senators shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Kirill Kaprizov · 1st 08:19 · 1–0
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Mats Zuccarello · 2nd 01:34 · 2–0
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (16%)
3
Jared Spurgeon · 2nd 09:27 · GWG · 3–0
Backhand shot, a great chance (42%)
4
Mark Kastelic · 3rd 04:58 · 3–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
5
Claude Giroux · 3rd 18:20 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 3–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (22%)
6
Frederick Gaudreau · 3rd 19:34 · EN · 4–2
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
26/28 saves · 2 GA · 3.1 xGA
Stopped 1.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
19/22 saves · 3 GA · 2.3 xGA
Allowed 0.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
