Minnesota Wild
MIN · 20-13-2
1–4
FinalL
Dallas Stars
DAL · 22-9-6
1ST2ND3RDT
MIN
1905010124
DAL
115010318443
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
MIN 20-13-2 · DAL 22-9-6 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Wild fell to the Stars
The Wild were outchanced (3.2 to 2.0 expected goals) and lost 1–4. Jake Oettinger stopped 1.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Stars created the better chances: 3.2 expected goals to 2.0, on 43 and 24 shots on goal.
MIN 2.0 xG · 24 shots
DAL 3.2 xG · 43 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.7 · 0.9
2nd
0.5 · 0.9
3rd
0.9 · 1.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Tyler Seguin · 1st 07:13 · 0–1 · deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Kirill Kaprizov · 1st 17:09 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
3
Wyatt Johnston · 3rd 03:29 · 1–2 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
4
Jamie Benn · 3rd 13:26 · 1–3 · tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
5
Tyler Seguin · 3rd 17:58 · 1–4 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Wild win 30.
MIN 30%DAL 70%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Tyler Seguin · 1st 07:13 · PP · 0–1
Deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Kirill Kaprizov · 1st 17:09 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
3
Wyatt Johnston · 3rd 03:29 · GWG · 1–2
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
4
Jamie Benn · 3rd 13:26 · PP · 1–3
Tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
5
Tyler Seguin · 3rd 17:58 · EN · 1–4
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
No goals or penalties.
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
39/42 saves · 3 GA · 3.2 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
23/24 saves · 1 GA · 2.0 xGA
Stopped 1.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.