Minnesota Wild
MIN · 22-13-2
5–1
FinalW
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 24-12-1
1ST2ND3RDT
MIN
11231219533
TBL
011112012135
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Wild lead the season series 1–0
MIN 22-13-2 · TBL 24-12-1 · First meeting this season — the Wild lead the season series 1–0
Wild beat the Lightning
Chances were even (2.7 to 2.9 expected goals); the Wild won 5–1. Filip Gustavsson stopped 1.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.7 expected goals to 2.9, on 33 and 35 shots on goal.
MIN 2.7 xG · 33 shots
TBL 2.9 xG · 35 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.8 · 0.8
2nd
1.3 · 1.1
3rd
0.6 · 1.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Joel Eriksson Ek · 1st 14:30 · 1–0 · deflected shot, a good chance (12%)
2
Kirill Kaprizov · 2nd 07:09 · 2–0 · tip in shot, a good chance (10%)
3
· 2nd 09:27 · 3–0 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
4
Brayden Point · 2nd 13:37 · 3–1 · snap shot, a good chance (20%)
5
Sam Steel · 2nd 15:35 · 4–1 · deflected shot, a good chance (11%)
6
Kirill Kaprizov · 3rd 17:57 · 5–1 · snap shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Wild win 46.
MIN 46%TBL 54%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Joel Eriksson Ek · 1st 14:30 · 1–0
Deflected shot, a good chance (12%)
2
Kirill Kaprizov · 2nd 07:09 · PP · GWG · 2–0
Tip in shot, a good chance (10%)
3
· 2nd 09:27 · 3–0
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
4
Brayden Point · 2nd 13:37 · PP · 3–1
Snap shot, a good chance (20%)
5
Sam Steel · 2nd 15:35 · 4–1
Deflected shot, a good chance (11%)
6
Kirill Kaprizov · 3rd 17:57 · EN · 5–1
Snap shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
34/35 saves · 1 GA · 2.9 xGA
Stopped 1.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.
28/32 saves · 4 GA · 2.7 xGA
Allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.