MIN
3–2
PHI
Final / OT · W
Minnesota Wild
MIN · 26-17-4
3–2
Final / OTW
Philadelphia Flyers
PHI · 20-21-9
1ST2ND3RDOTT
MIN
07191512323
PHI
1100111801230
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Wild lead the season series 1–0
MIN 26-17-4 · PHI 20-21-9 · First meeting this season — the Wild lead the season series 1–0
Wild beat the Flyers
The Wild earned it: 3.4 expected goals to 2.3, and they won it in overtime on Zuccarello's goal.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Wild created the better chances: 3.4 expected goals to 2.3, on 23 and 30 shots on goal.
MIN 3.4 xG · 23 shots
PHI 2.3 xG · 30 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.8 · 1.0
2nd · the swing
1.4 · 0.5
3rd
1.1 · 0.6
OT
0.2 · 0.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Noah Cates · 1st 05:14 · 0–1 · deflected shot on a rebound, a great chance (26%)
2
Matt Boldy · 2nd 03:39 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
3
Matt Boldy · 3rd 04:48 · 2–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (14%)
4
Tony DeAngelo · 3rd 18:32 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
5
Mats Zuccarello · OT 02:08 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Wild win 68.
MIN 68%PHI 32%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties← Wild shoot this way
Flyers shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Noah Cates · 1st 05:14 · 0–1
Deflected shot on a rebound, a great chance (26%)
2
Matt Boldy · 2nd 03:39 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
3
Matt Boldy · 3rd 04:48 · PP · 2–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (14%)
4
Tony DeAngelo · 3rd 18:32 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 2–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
5
Mats Zuccarello · OT 02:08 · GWG · 3–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
28/30 saves · 2 GA · 2.3 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
20/23 saves · 3 GA · 3.4 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
