Minnesota Wild
MIN · 27-17-4
3–2
Final / SOW
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 26-19-4
1ST2ND3RDOTSOT
MIN
11319010031335
BUF
19111010010231
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
MIN 27-17-4 · BUF 26-19-4 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Wild beat the Sabres
The Wild earned it: 3.5 expected goals to 1.8, and they won it in a shootout. Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen stopped 1.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Wild created the better chances: 3.5 expected goals to 1.8, on 35 and 31 shots on goal.
MIN 3.5 xG · 35 shots
BUF 1.8 xG · 31 shots
0
1
2
3
1st · the swing
1.6 · 0.5
2nd
0.8 · 0.4
3rd
0.7 · 0.8
OT
0.4 · 0.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Jack Quinn · 1st 02:22 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
Joel Eriksson Ek · 1st 03:35 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
3
Zemgus Girgensons · 2nd 09:50 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
4
Jared Spurgeon · 2nd 12:39 · 2–2 · snap shot, a good chance (16%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Wild win 76.
MIN 76%BUF 24%
Goals and penalties
4 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Jack Quinn · 1st 02:22 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
Joel Eriksson Ek · 1st 03:35 · PP · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
3
Zemgus Girgensons · 2nd 09:50 · 1–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
4
Jared Spurgeon · 2nd 12:39 · 2–2
Snap shot, a good chance (16%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No goals or penalties.
No penalties
Shootout
Decided in a shootout — Wild
Goaltending
29/31 saves · 2 GA · 1.8 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
33/35 saves · 2 GA · 3.5 xGA
Stopped 1.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.