MIN
2–3
COL
Final · L
Minnesota Wild
MIN · 28-21-5
2–3
FinalL
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 29-19-5
1ST2ND3RDT
MIN
017113113243
COL
162409319
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Wild trail the season series 0–2
MIN 28-21-5 · COL 29-19-5 · Meeting 2 this season — the Wild trail the season series 0–2
Wild fell to the Avalanche
The Wild created the better chances (3.3 to 1.5 expected goals) — and lost 2–3. Marc-Andre Fleury allowed 1.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Wild created the better chances: 3.3 expected goals to 1.5, on 43 and 19 shots on goal.
MIN 3.3 xG · 43 shots
COL 1.5 xG · 19 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.2 · 0.5
2nd
0.7 · 0.3
3rd
1.4 · 0.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Andrew Cogliano · 1st 15:14 · 0–1 · wrist shot off the rush, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2
Denis Malgin · 2nd 02:20 · 0–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
3
Joel Eriksson Ek · 2nd 07:09 · 1–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (13%)
4
Nathan MacKinnon · 2nd 16:29 · 1–3 · snap shot, a good chance (16%)
5
Kirill Kaprizov · 3rd 14:07 · 2–3 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Wild win 79.
MIN 79%COL 21%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties← Wild shoot this way
Avalanche shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Andrew Cogliano · 1st 15:14 · 0–1
Wrist shot off the rush, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2
Denis Malgin · 2nd 02:20 · 0–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
3
Joel Eriksson Ek · 2nd 07:09 · PP · 1–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (13%)
4
Nathan MacKinnon · 2nd 16:29 · GWG · 1–3
Snap shot, a good chance (16%)
5
Kirill Kaprizov · 3rd 14:07 · 2–3
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
1st period
1
Devon Toews, Samuel Girard · wrist shot off the rush, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
0–1
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
16/19 saves · 3 GA · 1.5 xGA
Allowed 1.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
41/43 saves · 2 GA · 3.3 xGA
Stopped 1.3 more goals than an average goalie would have.
