MIN
4–3
NSH
Final · W
Minnesota Wild
MIN · 30-21-5
4–3
FinalW
Nashville Predators
NSH · 26-22-6
1ST2ND3RDT
MIN
013212210435
NSH
081929326
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
MIN 30-21-5 · NSH 26-22-6 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Wild beat the Predators
The Wild earned it: 3.5 expected goals to 1.9, and a 4–3 win to show for it. Hartman's winner came with 0:21 left. Filip Gustavsson allowed 1.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Wild created the better chances: 3.5 expected goals to 1.9, on 35 and 26 shots on goal.
MIN 3.5 xG · 35 shots
NSH 1.9 xG · 26 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.9 · 0.5
2nd · the swing
2.1 · 0.7
3rd
0.5 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Brandon Duhaime · 2nd 00:09 · 1–0 · deflected shot, a good chance (18%)
2
Kirill Kaprizov · 2nd 01:37 · 2–0 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (22%)
3
Tommy Novak · 2nd 17:03 · 2–1 · snap shot, a good chance (14%)
4
Kirill Kaprizov · 3rd 01:23 · 3–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
5
Roman Josi · 3rd 15:04 · 3–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
6
Nino Niederreiter · 3rd 19:13 · 3–3 · tip in shot, a good chance (21%)
7
Ryan Hartman · 3rd 19:39 · 4–3 · deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Wild win 75.
MIN 75%NSH 25%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Wild shoot this way
Predators shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Brandon Duhaime · 2nd 00:09 · 1–0
Deflected shot, a good chance (18%)
2
Kirill Kaprizov · 2nd 01:37 · PP · 2–0
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (22%)
3
Tommy Novak · 2nd 17:03 · 2–1
Snap shot, a good chance (14%)
4
Kirill Kaprizov · 3rd 01:23 · 3–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
5
Roman Josi · 3rd 15:04 · 3–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
6
Nino Niederreiter · 3rd 19:13 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 3–3
Tip in shot, a good chance (21%)
7
Ryan Hartman · 3rd 19:39 · GWG · 4–3
Deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
23/26 saves · 3 GA · 1.9 xGA
Allowed 1.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
31/35 saves · 4 GA · 3.5 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
