Minnesota Wild
MIN · 40-22-8
5–3
FinalW
Washington Capitals
WSH · 33-31-7
1ST2ND3RDT
MIN
211117212540
WSH
012110214336
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Wild lead the season series 2–0
MIN 40-22-8 · WSH 33-31-7 · Meeting 2 this season — the Wild lead the season series 2–0
Wild beat the Capitals
The Wild earned it: 3.7 expected goals to 2.4, and a 5–3 win to show for it. Charlie Lindgren allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Wild created the better chances: 3.7 expected goals to 2.4, on 40 and 36 shots on goal.
MIN 3.7 xG · 40 shots
WSH 2.4 xG · 36 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.1 · 0.8
2nd
1.2 · 0.6
3rd
1.4 · 1.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Matt Boldy · 1st 00:50 · 1–0 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (25%)
2
Matt Boldy · 1st 04:36 · 2–0 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
3
Alex Ovechkin · 2nd 05:34 · 2–1 · slap shot, a good chance (10%)
4
Ryan Reaves · 2nd 10:14 · 3–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Brandon Duhaime · 3rd 03:46 · 4–1 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
6
Alex Ovechkin · 3rd 12:33 · 4–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
7
Matt Boldy · 3rd 13:58 · 5–2 · snap shot, a great chance (26%)
8
Dylan Strome · 3rd 16:26 · 5–3 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (22%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Wild win 70.
MIN 70%WSH 30%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Matt Boldy · 1st 00:50 · 1–0
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (25%)
2
Matt Boldy · 1st 04:36 · 2–0
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
3
Alex Ovechkin · 2nd 05:34 · PP · 2–1
Slap shot, a good chance (10%)
4
Ryan Reaves · 2nd 10:14 · 3–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Brandon Duhaime · 3rd 03:46 · GWG · 4–1
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
6
Alex Ovechkin · 3rd 12:33 · PP · 4–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
7
Matt Boldy · 3rd 13:58 · 5–2
Snap shot, a great chance (26%)
8
Dylan Strome · 3rd 16:26 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 5–3
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (22%)
1st period
2
Marcus Johansson, Joel Eriksson Ek · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
2–0
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
33/36 saves · 3 GA · 2.4 xGA
Allowed 0.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
35/40 saves · 5 GA · 3.7 xGA
Allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.