MIN
5–3
STL
Final · W
Minnesota Wild
MIN · 45-24-10
5–3
FinalW
St. Louis Blues
STL · 37-36-7
1ST2ND3RDT
MIN
28212110530
STL
118010212340
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 4 this season — the Wild lead the season series 3–1
MIN 45-24-10 · STL 37-36-7 · Meeting 4 this season — the Wild lead the season series 3–1
Wild beat the Blues
Chances were even (3.4 to 3.2 expected goals); the Wild won 5–3. An empty-net goal padded the final score; it was a one-goal game until then.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.4 expected goals to 3.2, on 30 and 40 shots on goal.
MIN 3.4 xG · 30 shots
STL 3.2 xG · 40 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.2 · 1.6
2nd
1.2 · 0.5
3rd
1.0 · 1.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
· 1st 05:19 · 0–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Ryan Hartman · 1st 11:17 · 1–1 · backhand shot, a good chance (23%)
3
Sam Steel · 1st 11:37 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (23%)
4
Frederick Gaudreau · 2nd 14:27 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
5
Jared Spurgeon · 2nd 19:25 · 4–1 · backhand shot, a good chance (16%)
6
Jake Neighbours · 3rd 01:11 · 4–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
7
Pavel Buchnevich · 3rd 07:51 · 4–3 · snap shot, a good chance (11%)
8
Jonas Brodin · 3rd 18:07 · 5–3 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Wild win 53.
MIN 53%STL 47%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties← Wild shoot this way
Blues shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
· 1st 05:19 · 0–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Ryan Hartman · 1st 11:17 · SH · 1–1
Backhand shot, a good chance (23%)
3
Sam Steel · 1st 11:37 · SH · 2–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (23%)
4
Frederick Gaudreau · 2nd 14:27 · PP · 3–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
5
Jared Spurgeon · 2nd 19:25 · GWG · 4–1
Backhand shot, a good chance (16%)
6
Jake Neighbours · 3rd 01:11 · 4–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
7
Pavel Buchnevich · 3rd 07:51 · 4–3
Snap shot, a good chance (11%)
8
Jonas Brodin · 3rd 18:07 · EN · 5–3
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
37/40 saves · 3 GA · 3.2 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
25/29 saves · 4 GA · 3.4 xGA
Allowed 0.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
