Minnesota Wild
MIN · 2-2
2–3
FinalL
Dallas Stars
DAL · 2-2
1ST2ND3RDT
MIN
09014211234
DAL
0811125324
goals · shots on goal
Game 4 — the series is tied 2–2
MIN 2-2 · DAL 2-2 · Game 4 — the series is tied 2–2
Wild fell to the Stars
The Wild created the better chances (3.4 to 2.4 expected goals) — and lost 2–3. Jake Oettinger stopped 1.4 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Wild created the better chances: 3.4 expected goals to 2.4, on 34 and 24 shots on goal.
MIN 3.4 xG · 34 shots
DAL 2.4 xG · 24 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.5 · 0.7
2nd
1.6 · 1.3
3rd · the swing
1.3 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Tyler Seguin · 2nd 15:42 · 0–1 · deflected shot on a rebound, a good chance (17%)
2
Evgenii Dadonov · 3rd 03:05 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
3
John Klingberg · 3rd 05:58 · 1–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
Tyler Seguin · 3rd 16:29 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
5
Frederick Gaudreau · 3rd 18:40 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Wild win 65.
MIN 65%DAL 35%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Tyler Seguin · 2nd 15:42 · PP · 0–1
Deflected shot on a rebound, a good chance (17%)
2
Evgenii Dadonov · 3rd 03:05 · 0–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
3
John Klingberg · 3rd 05:58 · 1–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
Tyler Seguin · 3rd 16:29 · PP · GWG · 1–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
5
Frederick Gaudreau · 3rd 18:40 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 2–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
21/24 saves · 3 GA · 2.4 xGA
Allowed 0.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
32/34 saves · 2 GA · 3.4 xGA
Stopped 1.4 more goals than an average goalie would have.