Minnesota Wild
MIN · 3-2-1
7–4
FinalW
Edmonton Oilers
EDM · 1-4-1
1ST2ND3RDT
MIN
28013511732
EDM
2111918428
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Wild lead the season series 1–0
MIN 3-2-1 · EDM 1-4-1 · First meeting this season — the Wild lead the season series 1–0
Wild beat the Oilers
The Wild earned it: 4.6 expected goals to 3.1, and a 7–4 win to show for it. Jack Campbell allowed 1.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Wild created the better chances: 4.6 expected goals to 3.1, on 32 and 28 shots on goal.
MIN 4.6 xG · 32 shots
EDM 3.1 xG · 28 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st
1.0 · 1.5
2nd · the swing
1.8 · 0.8
3rd
1.7 · 0.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Evan Bouchard · 1st 00:54 · 0–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
2
Marco Rossi · 1st 07:47 · 1–1 · deflected shot, a good chance (11%)
3
Warren Foegele · 1st 18:27 · 1–2 · slap shot, a good chance (14%)
4
Ryan Hartman · 1st 19:01 · 2–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (20%)
5
Warren Foegele · 2nd 00:32 · 2–3 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
6
Ryan Hartman · 3rd 00:38 · 3–3 · snap shot, a great chance (27%)
7
Mats Zuccarello · 3rd 06:48 · 4–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
8
Joel Eriksson Ek · 3rd 10:28 · 5–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
9
Evander Kane · 3rd 12:55 · 5–4 · tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
10
Ryan Hartman · 3rd 15:50 · 6–4 · wrist shot, a great chance (42%)
11
Marcus Foligno · 3rd 16:37 · 7–4 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Wild win 70.
MIN 70%EDM 30%
Goals and penalties
11 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Evan Bouchard · 1st 00:54 · 0–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
2
Marco Rossi · 1st 07:47 · 1–1
Deflected shot, a good chance (11%)
3
Warren Foegele · 1st 18:27 · 1–2
Slap shot, a good chance (14%)
4
Ryan Hartman · 1st 19:01 · 2–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (20%)
5
Warren Foegele · 2nd 00:32 · 2–3
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
6
Ryan Hartman · 3rd 00:38 · 3–3
Snap shot, a great chance (27%)
7
Mats Zuccarello · 3rd 06:48 · 4–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
8
Joel Eriksson Ek · 3rd 10:28 · GWG · 5–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
9
Evander Kane · 3rd 12:55 · PP · 5–4
Tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
10
Ryan Hartman · 3rd 15:50 · 6–4
Wrist shot, a great chance (42%)
11
Marcus Foligno · 3rd 16:37 · EN · 7–4
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
24/28 saves · 4 GA · 3.1 xGA
Allowed 0.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
25/31 saves · 6 GA · 4.6 xGA
Allowed 1.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.