MIN
3–8
DAL
Final · L
Minnesota Wild
MIN · 5-8-2
3–8
FinalL
Dallas Stars
DAL · 10-3-1
1ST2ND3RDT
MIN
2121905326
DAL
313212312837
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Wild trail the season series 0–1
MIN 5-8-2 · DAL 10-3-1 · First meeting this season — the Wild trail the season series 0–1
Wild fell to the Stars
The Wild were outchanced (4.6 to 2.9 expected goals) and lost 3–8. Marc-Andre Fleury allowed 3.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Stars created the better chances: 4.6 expected goals to 2.9, on 37 and 26 shots on goal.
MIN 2.9 xG · 26 shots
DAL 4.6 xG · 37 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st
1.5 · 1.1
2nd · the swing
0.6 · 1.8
3rd
0.8 · 1.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Joe Pavelski · 1st 00:57 · 0–1 · backhand shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2
Radek Faksa · 1st 09:49 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
3
Brandon Duhaime · 1st 10:38 · 1–2 · backhand shot, a good chance (17%)
4
Matt Duchene · 1st 10:52 · 1–3 · tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
5
Vinni Lettieri · 1st 19:12 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
6
Wyatt Johnston · 2nd 02:34 · 2–4 · snap shot, a good chance (20%)
7
Evgenii Dadonov · 2nd 12:11 · 2–5 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (41%)
8
Mats Zuccarello · 2nd 15:59 · 3–5 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
9
Jason Robertson · 3rd 01:02 · 3–6 · wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
10
Jason Robertson · 3rd 03:09 · 3–7 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
11
Wyatt Johnston · 3rd 17:57 · 3–8 · snap shot, a great chance (34%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Wild win 27.
MIN 27%DAL 73%
Goals and penalties
11 goals · 0 penalties← Wild shoot this way
Stars shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Joe Pavelski · 1st 00:57 · PP · 0–1
Backhand shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2
Radek Faksa · 1st 09:49 · SH · 0–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
3
Brandon Duhaime · 1st 10:38 · 1–2
Backhand shot, a good chance (17%)
4
Matt Duchene · 1st 10:52 · 1–3
Tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
5
Vinni Lettieri · 1st 19:12 · 2–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
6
Wyatt Johnston · 2nd 02:34 · PP · GWG · 2–4
Snap shot, a good chance (20%)
7
Evgenii Dadonov · 2nd 12:11 · PP · 2–5
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (41%)
8
Mats Zuccarello · 2nd 15:59 · PP · 3–5
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
9
Jason Robertson · 3rd 01:02 · PP · 3–6
Wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
10
Jason Robertson · 3rd 03:09 · PP · 3–7
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
11
Wyatt Johnston · 3rd 17:57 · SH · 3–8
Snap shot, a great chance (34%)
1st period
1
Miro Heiskanen, Jason Robertson · backhand shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
0–1
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
29/37 saves · 8 GA · 4.6 xGA
Allowed 3.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
23/26 saves · 3 GA · 2.9 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
