MIN
3–4
TOR
Final / OT · L
Minnesota Wild
MIN · 5-8-4
3–4
Final / OTL
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 10-5-2
1ST2ND3RDOTT
MIN
11101121301336
TOR
214051412425
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Wild trail the season series 0–2
MIN 5-8-4 · TOR 10-5-2 · Meeting 2 this season — the Wild trail the season series 0–2
Wild fell to the Maple Leafs
The Wild created the better chances (3.1 to 2.3 expected goals) — and lost it in overtime on Nylander's goal. Marc-Andre Fleury allowed 1.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Wild created the better chances: 3.1 expected goals to 2.3, on 36 and 25 shots on goal.
MIN 3.1 xG · 36 shots
TOR 2.3 xG · 25 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.7 · 1.4
2nd · the swing
1.3 · 0.3
3rd
1.0 · 0.4
OT
0.1 · 0.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Jon Merrill · 1st 02:37 · 1–0 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Auston Matthews · 1st 12:43 · 1–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (10%)
3
Matthew Knies · 1st 18:23 · 1–2 · slap shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Morgan Rielly · 3rd 04:22 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
5
Jake Middleton · 3rd 06:10 · 2–3 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
6
Mats Zuccarello · 3rd 08:42 · 3–3 · tip in shot, a good chance (14%)
7
William Nylander · OT 03:09 · 3–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Wild win 63.
MIN 63%TOR 37%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Wild shoot this way
Maple Leafs shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Jon Merrill · 1st 02:37 · 1–0
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Auston Matthews · 1st 12:43 · PP · 1–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (10%)
3
Matthew Knies · 1st 18:23 · 1–2
Slap shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Morgan Rielly · 3rd 04:22 · 1–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
5
Jake Middleton · 3rd 06:10 · 2–3
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
6
Mats Zuccarello · 3rd 08:42 · 3–3
Tip in shot, a good chance (14%)
7
William Nylander · OT 03:09 · GWG · 3–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
1st period
2nd period
No goals or penalties.
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
21/25 saves · 4 GA · 2.3 xGA
Allowed 1.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
33/36 saves · 3 GA · 3.1 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
